NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	12.6 [14]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +40.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	16.8 [72]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -19.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damion Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	6	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.16,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	11	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	23	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Josh Okogie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.03	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	59%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.11
Cameron Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.19	0.02	-0.22	-0.01	22	55%	-0.02	4	-0.18	3	33%	-0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.4	0.40	-0.10	0.43	-0.07	17	42%	0.47	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.13	0.03	10	69%	0.38	3	-0.20	9	89%	0.10
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	5	90%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.08	0.03	3	71%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.23,0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.1	-0.10	0.17	-0.23	0.04	25	66%	0.19	4	-0.29	12	100%	0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.9	14.7	26.4	2.6	36.4	3.3	14.8	154.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.4%

POR +64.4%

PHX -6.4%

PHX -25.3%

PHX -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.4	101.8	105.6	113.4
season	14.5	14.7		114.2	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.5		117.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.8	15.1	14.4	15.3	17.1	15.1
POR	15.8	12.6	15.7	13.5	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	14.0	15.6	-1.64	15.3	13.9	1.37
Torrey Craig	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.1	-0.02	14.7	14.2	0.45
Cameron Johnson	49	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	3	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.46	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Josh Okogie	30	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	3	-8	14.3	15.4	-1.12	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Mikal Bridges	74	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-8	14	15.5	14.3	1.21	14.5	14.0	0.46
Damion Lee	65	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.46	3	-5	8	14.9	15.5	-0.62	14.4	14.2	0.21
Chris Paul	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.6	14.0	1.64	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Deandre Ayton	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	15.8	13.4	2.37	14.3	14.3	0.02
Devin Booker	88	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	0	-2	15.4	14.0	1.43	14.5	13.6	0.91
Jock Landale	42	37	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	14.3	15.6	-1.30	14.6	14.2	0.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.39	2	0	2	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.2	14.8	0.37
Jusuf Nurkic	69	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	2	-2	13.9	15.1	-1.21	16.1	13.3	2.80
Drew Eubanks	33	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-3	8	15.0	14.0	1.02	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Josh Hart	82	83	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.42	-3	5	-8	14.5	13.8	0.74	15.5	14.0	1.46
Damian Lillard	86	86	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	4	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.72	15.4	14.1	1.30
Shaedon Sharpe	24	26	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	14.3	14.3	0.01	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Jerami Grant	81	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	6	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.53	15.4	14.4	1.01
Nassir Little	25	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	-2	6	15.0	14.1	0.88	14.0	15.5	-1.56
Justise Winslow	49	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	1	0	14.7	14.0	0.64	14.5	15.6	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.57,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 121, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.55,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.09,1	90.4%
NYK 84, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.42,1	88.3%
IND 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1	87.8%