inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 100 Excitement8.5 [211] MVPKristaps Porzingis (WAS): +41.4%
Detroit Pistons 97 Comeback2.2 [395] LVPRodney McGruder (DET): -25.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0.410,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.410.110.29-0.022259%0.502-0.08771%0.02
Corey Kispert0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.040.10-0.02844%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00287%0.081-0.044100%0.02
Deni Avdija0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.020.01-0.00-0.011658%0.134-0.124100%0.06
Rui Hachimura0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.011246%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.040.01460%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Ish Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.00650%0.034-0.1000%0.00
Anthony Gill-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.090.00367%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18-0.08-0.11-0.001033%-0.161-0.024100%0.04

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.160.160.16-0.000.001668%0.1600.005100%0.02
Cory Joseph0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.00367%0.0300.003100%0.01
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.020.01867%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Cade Cunningham0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.012250%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00462%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Killian Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00862%0.114-0.1500%0.00
Braxton Key0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.01633%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001133%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.00614%-0.0900.002100%0.01
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25-0.25-0.17-0.09-0.021212%-0.192-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.41.831.315.727.32.328.7133.5
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.4%
WAS +18.9%
DET -8.4%
DET -3.8%
WAS +8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDETNBAWASDETNBA
this game14.513.714.598.095.1110.8
season14.914.6109.8105.0
opponent14.414.4112.6113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.813.114.616.614.5
DET15.015.712.611.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Gill52500.79-0.291.080.539-61513.515.6-2.1414.013.50.50
Deni Avdija69670.470.030.450.335-2714.215.3-1.1413.613.8-0.19
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope71710.370.130.250.43-25-715.013.51.5513.314.6-1.26
Tomas Satoransky62620.340.160.180.37-14-514.814.10.7113.314.3-1.02
Kristaps Porzingis69670.330.170.160.45-47-1115.412.82.5713.214.7-1.45
Ish Smith40400.160.34-0.180.044-1514.114.8-0.7114.313.31.02
Corey Kispert64660.150.35-0.190.0730314.414.7-0.3314.212.81.35
Thomas Bryant27290.020.48-0.450.0203-314.014.7-0.6714.113.50.60
Rui Hachimura5658-0.150.65-0.79-0.1712-114.714.30.4113.813.50.32

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerami Grant15160.05-0.550.61-0.012-5714.713.51.1314.414.6-0.18
Braxton Key41400.03-0.530.550.11-30-313.314.0-0.7314.014.9-0.91
Frank Jackson3333-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-2112.814.1-1.2714.614.50.16
Isaiah Stewart5354-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-6913.613.8-0.1314.914.10.84
Cory Joseph4647-0.08-0.420.35-0.101-4513.913.50.4214.514.50.00
Rodney McGruder5655-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-30-313.613.9-0.3014.214.9-0.71
Cade Cunningham7372-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.420-3314.212.41.7614.514.6-0.10
Marvin Bagley III7473-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.35-52-713.614.1-0.5514.813.90.84
Killian Hayes6262-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-63-913.713.7-0.0314.215.0-0.82
Saddiq Bey5758-0.570.07-0.64-0.48-30-313.813.50.3114.914.00.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.15,0.37,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 100, CHA 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.58,092.1%
CHA 107, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.26,091.4%
CLE 100, ATL 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,090.8%