NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	8.9 [153]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +54.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	98		Comeback	1.7 [548]		LVP	Melvin Ely (CHA): -32.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.55	0.05	0.50	-0.00	11	79%	0.81	5	-0.27	2	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	78%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.07	-0.03	17	47%	0.18	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.10	10	54%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.05
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	52%	0.00	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.03
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	10	45%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.13	-0.20	-0.00	15	34%	-0.27	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	0.2	28.2	16.6	22.3	1.7	38.0	131.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +152.5%

CHA -68.0%

CHA -16.0%

CHA -19.9%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.5	109.9	106.5	104.0
season	15.8	15.5		103.9	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	16.7	15.8	17.4	16.2
CHA	13.8	16.0	16.2	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	82	84	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.51	5	-3	8	16.3	15.1	1.18	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Kurt Thomas	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.59	-5	7	-12	16.0	16.6	-0.59	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Tim Thomas	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	15.7	16.7	-0.99	15.8	14.6	1.28
Michael Sweetney	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	-1	4	15.6	16.9	-1.25	14.6	16.3	-1.74
Stephon Marbury	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	6	-10	15.8	18.3	-2.49	15.1	16.6	-1.47
Trevor Ariza	38	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	-1	4	16.2	16.2	0.06	16.6	14.4	2.16
Jerome Williams	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-4	10	17.5	15.8	1.69	16.2	15.0	1.21
Malik Rose	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-3	8	17.6	15.7	1.92	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Maurice Taylor	38	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	2	-2	16.9	15.7	1.19	15.3	15.3	0.05
Jermaine Jackson	6	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.11	-2	4	-6	14.3	16.3	-1.97	17.2	15.2	2.00

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	38	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	16.1	14.7	1.41	16.3	16.1	0.17
Jason Hart	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-1	0	15.7	15.0	0.63	16.8	15.7	1.05
Jason Kapono	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-3	4	16.6	14.7	1.87	16.1	16.2	-0.16
Keith Bogans	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.4	15.0	0.48	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Malik Allen	50	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.4	16.4	-1.94	16.3	16.0	0.29
Emeka Okafor	29	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.15	-17	15	-32	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.7	16.4	-0.62
Melvin Ely	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	15.5	14.5	0.97	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Brevin Knight	61	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.0	15.8	-0.76	16.2	16.0	0.21
Gerald Wallace	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-2	2	14.8	17.1	-2.29	16.2	16.2	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, VAN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.33,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.64,0.14,0.42,0	91.6%
LAL 113, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	91.3%
MEM 111, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.4,0.37,0.23,0.73,0	90.9%