NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	7.5 [360]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHA): +41.5%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.8 [469]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -26.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.15	0.27	0.00	11	86%	0.45	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.30	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.3	0.15	0.16	0.01	10	86%	0.33	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	13	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	17	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	17	52%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	8	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.17,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.16	0.02	12	46%	-0.09	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	27.2	14.8	23.3	2.4	33.5	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +37.1%

CHA +1.9%

CHA +9.7%

ATL -1.2%

CHA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.8	109.2	101.0	107.7
season	15.1	14.4		107.9	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	14.6	15.0	15.7	15.1
ATL	15.7	16.0	13.2	12.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	59	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-7	22	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.3	14.3	0.01
Cody Zeller	73	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	5	-2	15.7	13.2	2.57	14.5	13.8	0.64
Marvin Williams	61	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	9	-10	15.3	14.7	0.64	14.7	13.7	0.99
Jeremy Lamb	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	0	8	15.1	15.1	0.04	16.1	13.5	2.65
Ramon Sessions	30	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-1	10	14.3	15.4	-1.06	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Kemba Walker	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	9	-10	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.5	13.9	0.65
Nicolas Batum	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	15.1	15.1	-0.04	13.5	16.1	-2.65
Frank Kaminsky	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.18	9	-1	10	14.7	15.3	-0.64	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Roy Hibbert	21	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	3	2	13.6	15.5	-1.85	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	15	-22	14.0	15.9	-1.95	13.9	14.7	-0.77

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	28	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-7	6	12.3	15.1	-2.84	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-13	18	15.4	12.0	3.39	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Paul Millsap	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-13	18	14.7	13.5	1.21	15.4	14.3	1.13
Kyle Korver	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	6	-20	12.8	15.6	-2.76	14.0	16.0	-2.06
Thabo Sefolosha	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-9	10	14.3	14.3	0.09	15.5	14.4	1.07
Mike Muscala	28	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	11	-30	14.5	14.3	0.21	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Dwight Howard	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-6	4	14.5	13.9	0.54	15.6	13.8	1.80
Kent Bazemore	62	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	2	-12	13.1	16.5	-3.41	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-3	-2	15.7	11.8	3.91	15.4	14.5	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	91.5%
HOU 98, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.26,0	91.5%
PHX 117, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.16,0.17,0.28,0	91.2%