NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	8.6 [190]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +28.5%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	19.1 [46]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -14.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.22,0.09,0.09	-0.10	0.18	-0.01	19	32%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	70%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kevon Looney	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moses Moody	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	-0.11	0.02	8	78%	0.11	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	15	48%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Chiozza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	-0.00	23	53%	0.00	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	0.01	9	75%	0.32	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	12	66%	0.27	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.13	0.13	-0.10	0.22	-0.01	7	39%	0.24	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	12	56%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	6	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.4	15.4	29.4	2.7	42.0	142.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.8%

ORL +29.8%

GSW -30.7%

ORL +11.8%

GSW -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ORL	NBA	GSW	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	14.5	93.8	96.9	110.8
season	14.2	14.4		112.2	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.9		111.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	15.0	14.2	15.2	14.8
ORL	15.2	14.4	15.8	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	42	42	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.06	7	-11	18	13.8	15.6	-1.76	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Damion Lee	36	35	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.09	4	-8	12	13.0	15.9	-2.93	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Kevon Looney	22	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-4	4	15.8	14.5	1.32	16.6	14.6	2.00
Moses Moody	11	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-3	2	13.4	15.0	-1.62	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Chris Chiozza	8	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	14.5	14.8	-0.33	15.6	15.0	0.57
Nemanja Bjelica	27	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-2	0	15.4	14.6	0.89	15.1	15.0	0.04
Gary Payton II	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	17.8	14.4	3.41	13.7	15.2	-1.47
Klay Thompson	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	14.9	14.6	0.29	15.4	14.3	1.12
Jordan Poole	79	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	3	-10	15.1	13.3	1.83	15.2	14.2	1.07
Andrew Wiggins	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	14.8	14.7	0.13	15.2	14.5	0.70
Otto Porter Jr.	48	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.57	-1	-3	2	16.0	13.6	2.31	15.5	14.5	0.99
Draymond Green	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.40	-8	4	-12	14.2	15.9	-1.67	14.3	16.2	-1.88

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	54	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	15.6	14.4	1.16	14.9	14.7	0.25
Franz Wagner	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	15.7	14.1	1.53	15.1	14.4	0.72
Cole Anthony	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	0	4	15.7	14.1	1.64	15.0	14.6	0.40
Wendell Carter Jr.	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.35	-1	5	-6	15.2	14.6	0.62	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Mo Bamba	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	3	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.08	15.2	14.5	0.71
Chuma Okeke	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	1	2	15.1	15.0	0.08	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Moritz Wagner	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-1	6	14.6	15.2	-0.62	15.1	14.7	0.39
Markelle Fultz	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	4	-4	14.1	15.7	-1.64	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Admiral Schofield	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	1	2	14.1	15.7	-1.53	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Gary Harris	43	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	14.4	15.6	-1.16	14.7	14.9	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.51,0.45,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.12,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	90.0%
POR 101, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.69,0.58,1	89.9%
CLE 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.64,0.23,0.15,1	89.9%