NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	8.9 [194]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +54.3%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	93.3 [23]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): -22.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.55,0.55,0.41	0.16	0.27	0.02	12	92%	0.47	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	70%	0.11	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.11
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Cedi Osman	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	17	32%	-0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.01	15	44%	0.59	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.09
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	15	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	2	87%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	14	54%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	23.6	15.3	24.6	2.4	35.8	128.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -0.9%

ORL +21.1%

CLE -0.5%

ORL +29.1%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.3	102.0	106.2	109.3
season	15.5	14.9		106.3	107.2
opponent	14.3	13.9		107.2	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	12.9	14.4	15.4	15.0
ORL	13.8	14.3	16.9	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JR Smith	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.37	13	-15	28	13.5	16.6	-3.10	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Sam Dekker	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	15.2	14.9	0.28	15.1	14.5	0.60
Collin Sexton	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	5	-12	15.3	14.8	0.49	13.0	15.7	-2.75
Tristan Thompson	68	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.37	8	-10	18	15.2	14.4	0.82	15.8	12.5	3.25
Rodney Hood	59	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	15.1	14.8	0.25	16.4	11.9	4.48
Jordan Clarkson	53	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	4	-10	15.8	14.0	1.87	13.1	16.6	-3.50
George Hill	66	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.58	7	-9	16	15.2	14.5	0.70	15.6	13.0	2.63
Kyle Korver	10	10	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	6	-14	11.8	15.3	-3.53	13.0	14.9	-1.92
Cedi Osman	85	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	15.3	12.7	2.63	14.9	13.6	1.28
Larry Nance Jr.	31	30	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	9	-20	14.2	15.3	-1.09	12.8	15.6	-2.79

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	45	44	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-5	12	13.6	15.7	-2.06	15.1	14.8	0.30
Aaron Gordon	65	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.50	3	-1	4	15.4	13.3	2.11	14.8	15.4	-0.67
Terrence Ross	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-7	16	13.6	16.9	-3.33	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Evan Fournier	61	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.53	-4	6	-10	15.3	13.6	1.72	15.0	14.9	0.18
Mo Bamba	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	-5	12	13.4	15.8	-2.40	15.3	14.7	0.59
Jerian Grant	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	-3	8	13.6	15.6	-2.06	15.9	14.2	1.68
Nikola Vucevic	53	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	7	-12	15.8	13.4	2.40	14.7	15.3	-0.59
D.J. Augustin	51	55	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	16.2	13.1	3.07	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Jarell Martin	31	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	3	-4	13.3	15.4	-2.11	15.4	14.8	0.67
Wes Iwundu	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	17.1	13.9	3.21	15.5	14.8	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.64,0.23,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.14,0.15,1	90.2%
CHA 93, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.24,0.26,1	90.1%
SAS 98, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.09,1	90.0%