NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	8.0 [268]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +26.5%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	2.4 [515]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -22.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	13	58%	0.19	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	17	58%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Naz Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jaylen Nowell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	4	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	29%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.08,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.01	11	68%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.05	0.02	8	96%	0.25	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.10	0.02	11	82%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	10	68%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	15%	-0.11	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.2,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	17	39%	0.01	8	-0.23	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	27.4	14.7	26.1	2.5	41.8	139.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +71.3%

MIN -11.5%

MIN -2.4%

MIN -14.8%

DAL +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	14.5	108.0	111.1	110.8
season	13.9	15.6		112.6	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.2	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	11.7	14.8	15.6	12.5	13.5
DAL	13.6	13.5	17.1	18.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	33	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-8	14	11.8	14.4	-2.51	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Jaylen Nowell	29	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	13.6	13.5	0.13	16.1	15.1	0.93
Jarred Vanderbilt	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	0	-2	14.3	13.2	1.05	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.44	11	-13	24	13.5	13.7	-0.29	15.9	13.9	1.95
Taurean Prince	51	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-2	2	13.0	14.0	-1.00	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Malik Beasley	58	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	13.0	14.3	-1.34	15.6	15.2	0.46
Anthony Edwards	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-2	2	13.8	12.6	1.25	16.1	13.1	3.04
Naz Reid	24	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	11	-24	13.7	13.5	0.29	13.9	15.9	-1.95
Patrick Beverley	61	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	5	-12	14.1	12.6	1.46	16.0	14.4	1.58
D'Angelo Russell	62	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	8	-18	14.0	12.7	1.32	15.0	16.1	-1.03

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	64	66	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-16	34	15.4	15.5	-0.14	14.1	12.4	1.74
Dorian Finney-Smith	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	0	2	15.9	14.2	1.67	13.8	12.8	1.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	59	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	-2	6	14.6	16.6	-2.06	12.9	14.5	-1.53
Reggie Bullock	77	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	7	-12	15.6	14.9	0.66	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Luka Doncic	77	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.47	-7	9	-16	15.9	13.9	2.01	13.6	13.3	0.35
Maxi Kleber	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.42	-8	10	-18	15.9	14.9	1.03	12.8	14.3	-1.48
Frank Ntilikina	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	-5	12	15.8	15.4	0.40	15.2	13.3	1.95
Dwight Powell	55	55	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-3	8	15.1	15.9	-0.83	14.5	12.4	2.14
Josh Green	26	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	8	-14	14.1	15.9	-1.83	11.6	14.3	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.88,0.89,0.77,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	90.7%
SAC 79, SAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	90.6%
DEN 100, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	90.6%