NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	121		Excitement	9.8 [78]		MVP	Goga Bitadze (IND): +57.5%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	11.6 [210]		LVP	Buddy Hield (IND): -35.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goga Bitadze	0.57	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.58	0.24	0.35	0.02	9	105%	0.62	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.16
Jalen Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	9	94%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Duane Washington Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	45%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.01	19	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04
Terry Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.16,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35	-0.15	-0.16	0.04	20	33%	-0.28	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.16	0.16	0.21	-0.03	0.02	14	89%	0.42	4	-0.26	8	75%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.11	0.02	4	82%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.13
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	15	54%	0.19	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	117%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.09	-0.14	0.05	14	63%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.5	14.8	27.5	2.4	34.2	135.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +3.4%

HOU -20.7%

IND +40.6%

IND +28.4%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	14.5	116.3	115.7	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		111.4	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.7		115.7	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.8	15.7	13.9	13.4	13.6
HOU	13.9	16.4	12.2	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	64	62	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	14.0	12.9	1.08	14.5	14.1	0.42
Oshae Brissett	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	7	-11	14.0	13.0	0.94	14.7	13.8	0.86
Malcolm Brogdon	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	6	-9	13.9	12.8	1.10	14.4	14.1	0.29
Jalen Smith	30	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-8	19	13.3	13.7	-0.40	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Tyrese Haliburton	80	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.50	-8	11	-19	13.3	14.6	-1.26	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Goga Bitadze	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.43	-6	9	-15	14.4	12.8	1.63	14.4	14.3	0.01
Lance Stephenson	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-7	17	13.3	13.7	-0.44	13.9	14.5	-0.69
Terry Taylor	47	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-5	13	12.9	14.2	-1.24	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Duane Washington Jr.	55	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	-1	5	13.2	14.1	-0.92	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Justin Anderson	20	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	12.7	13.8	-1.13	15.7	14.0	1.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	47	49	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.13	1	-4	5	13.2	15.3	-2.15	13.9	13.4	0.53
Dennis Schroder	52	55	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-3	3	13.5	15.2	-1.70	13.9	13.2	0.70
Kenyon Martin Jr.	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	6	-15	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.6	13.1	1.48
Daishen Nix	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	8	-19	14.6	14.3	0.27	14.6	13.3	1.26
Garrison Mathews	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-8	13	15.4	13.5	1.91	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Jalen Green	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-11	19	14.3	14.6	-0.27	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Christian Wood	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-8	13	14.7	13.6	1.07	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Kevin Porter Jr.	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-9	15	14.5	13.9	0.64	13.4	14.1	-0.65
Jae'Sean Tate	47	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	15.7	13.2	2.54	13.3	13.9	-0.54
Josh Christopher	35	35	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	15	-33	13.2	15.0	-1.80	13.3	13.8	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	91.3%
ATL 83, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	91.0%
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	90.7%