NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	9.3 [107]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): +78.0%
Brooklyn Nets	111		Comeback	17.9 [128]		LVP	Bruce Brown (BKN): -7.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.78	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.78	0.11	0.65	-0.01	14	61%	0.81	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.07
Luka Doncic	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.11,0.31	0.15	0.20	0.03	26	66%	0.45	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	7	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	64%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.06
Davis Bertans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	15	58%	0.16	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Josh Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Frank Ntilikina	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.18	0.00	8	76%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	20	51%	0.31	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	16	62%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	8	82%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	11	41%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.01	16	49%	0.02	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	30.5	15.3	26.6	3.5	33.8	136.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.5%

DAL +31.8%

BKN -22.1%

DAL +1.2%

DAL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BKN	NBA	DAL	BKN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	14.5	125.6	126.1	110.8
season	15.6	14.4		112.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.8	15.2	16.0	19.2	17.0
BKN	14.1	15.4	16.0	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	61	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.48	10	-8	18	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.4	15.3	0.17
Maxi Kleber	57	53	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	16.8	17.2	-0.44	16.0	14.5	1.48
Jalen Brunson	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-5	12	17.3	16.0	1.31	15.5	15.1	0.34
Spencer Dinwiddie	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	6	-10	16.8	17.3	-0.42	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Luka Doncic	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	6	-10	17.4	15.5	1.83	15.5	14.9	0.54
Davis Bertans	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	-4	10	15.5	17.4	-1.83	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Josh Green	35	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	15.9	17.6	-1.72	15.5	15.3	0.27
Frank Ntilikina	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	18.8	16.8	2.00	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Dwight Powell	57	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	7	-12	17.2	16.5	0.67	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Sterling Brown	18	19	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	11	-20	14.1	17.7	-3.57	15.2	15.4	-0.28

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	66	67	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.2	0.20	17.6	15.1	2.52
Cam Thomas	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.5	15.5	-0.95	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Nic Claxton	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.42	9	-11	20	14.9	15.9	-1.01	17.3	16.6	0.65
Kessler Edwards	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.12	16.6	17.2	-0.58
Andre Drummond	40	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	9	-20	15.9	14.9	1.01	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Kevin Durant	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.5	14.9	0.61	17.1	16.2	0.90
Bruce Brown	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	15.5	14.9	0.54	17.4	15.5	1.83
Goran Dragic	66	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.54	3	-5	8	15.3	15.6	-0.29	16.2	19.5	-3.32
James Johnson	30	30	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.55	-13	11	-24	15.3	15.4	-0.11	16.6	17.1	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.72,0.48,0.37,0.43,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 124, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.29,0.32,0.04,0	91.2%
POR 97, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.09,0	90.7%
MIA 103, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.21,0.43,0.16,0	90.7%