NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	6.5 [496]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +15.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	29.1 [44]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -18.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	23	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	48%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.05	-0.01	14	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.01	13	71%	0.09	5	-0.18	9	89%	0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	16	31%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.0	26.1	15.6	24.2	2.4	38.6	137.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.5%

LAC -7.6%

POR +17.2%

POR +8.1%

LAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	16.4	15.5	104.3	102.2	101.6
season	16.0	15.4		104.3	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	17.0	15.4	14.3	15.0
LAC	16.7	16.5	15.2	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	51	49	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	14.3	15.8	-1.58	16.9	15.8	1.10
Bonzi Wells	78	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-7	18	14.7	16.1	-1.39	16.6	15.0	1.62
Derek Anderson	77	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-7	18	14.6	16.7	-2.08	16.7	14.3	2.32
Scottie Pippen	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	2	0	14.5	15.9	-1.38	16.7	15.7	1.02
Rasheed Wallace	84	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	0	4	15.0	14.3	0.70	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Antonio Daniels	7	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	12.6	15.2	-2.59	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Jeff McInnis	32	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	2	0	15.9	14.5	1.38	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Ruben Patterson	25	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	14.7	15.1	-0.39	15.2	16.8	-1.55
Zach Randolph	17	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	17.1	14.5	2.56	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Arvydas Sabonis	33	33	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	12	-20	16.9	13.9	3.01	16.7	16.2	0.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	33	33	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.01	9	-13	22	16.6	16.2	0.40	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Wang Zhi-zhi	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	13.7	16.6	-2.85	17.9	14.7	3.18
Melvin Ely	14	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	0	-4	18.1	16.0	2.12	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Keyon Dooling	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	3	-10	15.4	16.9	-1.59	15.8	14.5	1.30
Andre Miller	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-3	2	17.0	10.8	6.24	15.3	12.5	2.77
Michael Olowokandi	80	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-4	4	16.5	15.5	0.92	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Elton Brand	80	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.2	17.5	-1.36	15.0	14.7	0.30
Marko Jaric	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-4	4	16.0	17.2	-1.22	14.2	17.2	-2.96
Quentin Richardson	58	60	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.39	-13	9	-22	16.2	16.6	-0.40	15.1	14.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	92.3%
CHA 104, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.16,0	92.3%
ORL 106, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.45,0.22,0.02,0	92.2%