NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	7.9 [244]		MVP	Courtney Lee (ORL): +31.5%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	13.1 [151]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -27.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.32	0.19	0.15	0.02	8	92%	0.33	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.10
Anthony Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	18	62%	0.14	3	-0.07	11	45%	-0.07
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.09	0.00	15	48%	0.16	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	10	35%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	10	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.02	13	53%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.07	-0.03	10	63%	0.11	1	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.07	0.05	10	73%	0.06	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	13	37%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.26,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	23	36%	-0.16	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	32.2	23.0	30.0	1.8	39.0	156.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.6%

ORL +8.4%

NYK -5.4%

ORL +14.3%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	15.5	103.9	99.0	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	15.3	15.0	13.9	14.8
NYK	14.4	12.4	13.2	13.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	75	76	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-6	16	14.5	15.6	-1.05	13.1	14.0	-0.87
Dwight Howard	88	89	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	14.5	16.6	-2.15	12.9	15.7	-2.77
Courtney Lee	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-3	10	14.4	16.2	-1.82	12.5	16.7	-4.26
Rafer Alston	65	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.53	2	2	0	14.5	15.3	-0.76	12.4	15.1	-2.67
Hedo Turkoglu	77	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	2	0	14.9	14.4	0.56	13.7	12.2	1.50
JJ Redick	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	16.4	14.3	2.13	15.0	12.8	2.16
Mickael Pietrus	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	4	-4	13.9	15.0	-1.12	13.5	13.3	0.29
Anthony Johnson	37	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.15	2	2	0	15.3	14.5	0.76	15.1	12.4	2.67
Marcin Gortat	14	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	11	-18	16.6	14.5	2.15	15.7	12.9	2.77
Tony Battie	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	10	-16	15.6	14.5	1.05	14.0	13.1	0.87

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	27	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-5	6	14.4	12.9	1.52	15.7	14.4	1.33
Chris Wilcox	34	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-6	8	14.2	12.9	1.32	16.1	14.1	2.02
Al Harrington	77	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-6	8	13.4	13.2	0.17	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Wilson Chandler	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	12.4	16.4	-4.01	14.8	14.7	0.07
Quentin Richardson	78	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	13.8	12.0	1.80	14.9	14.5	0.38
David Lee	64	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	13.7	12.8	0.89	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Chris Duhon	86	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	12.8	15.9	-3.14	14.3	17.1	-2.80
Nate Robinson	69	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	4	-12	13.3	13.4	-0.14	14.4	15.7	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.45,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.66,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.16,0	92.9%
CHA 104, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.16,0	92.5%
POR 97, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.09,0	92.2%