inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 113 Excitement7.8 [307] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +41.5%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback8.2 [232] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -15.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.410,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.410.200.240.022169%0.452-0.037100%0.04
Jonathan Kuminga0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.120.09-0.021269%0.2200.002100%0.02
Jordan Poole0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.180.120.090.031375%0.302-0.12250%-0.01
Kevon Looney0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.015100%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Moses Moody0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02271%0.0300.003100%0.01
Damion Lee-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.120,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.12-0.022042%-0.1200.00367%0.01
Andrew Wiggins-0.130,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.011128%-0.101-0.0330%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.00573%0.1000.005100%0.03
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.04-0.00856%0.0700.00250%-0.02
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00375%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.03,0.020.020.10-0.080.001468%0.151-0.1300%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.02-0.00546%0.0000.003100%0.02
Markus Howard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00550%-0.0200.002100%0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.00650%0.063-0.08650%-0.05
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021136%-0.021-0.03683%0.04
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.00617%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.08-0.012148%0.015-0.16683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.431.615.730.23.434.3145.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +62.3%
DEN -18.2%
DEN -21.7%
GSW +26.0%
GSW +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.715.014.5116.5105.2110.8
season14.214.8112.2113.4
opponent14.414.9111.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.515.013.714.714.7
DEN15.812.715.816.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Poole67681.14-0.641.780.2929-184714.714.70.0615.613.52.09
Stephen Curry75780.52-0.020.54-0.0118-72514.216.3-2.0815.214.11.09
Klay Thompson68670.360.140.220.1092714.714.8-0.1214.815.4-0.66
Nemanja Bjelica43400.350.150.200.2347-315.314.21.0615.214.80.38
Damion Lee13150.220.28-0.06-0.0283511.215.3-4.1112.915.4-2.42
Andrew Wiggins71690.160.34-0.180.13110-914.714.8-0.1814.615.9-1.23
Kevon Looney55560.150.35-0.200.0056-114.015.7-1.6814.915.1-0.16
Jonathan Kuminga44420.020.48-0.460.17-516-2116.113.52.5715.014.90.12
Juan Toscano-Anderson1414-0.110.61-0.720.09-718-2515.514.60.9213.215.3-2.06
Moses Moody3536-0.310.81-1.11-0.10-718-2515.514.31.2615.714.51.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markus Howard100.00-0.500.500.000-111110.015.0-5.030.014.7-14.71
Facundo Campazzo100.00-0.500.500.06-2-9710.015.0-5.030.014.7-14.71
Davon Reed3232-0.11-0.390.29-0.162-131514.415.3-0.8615.014.60.48
Bryn Forbes3436-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-7314.515.2-0.7414.614.8-0.25
JaMychal Green3336-0.16-0.340.18-0.253-141715.015.00.0315.114.50.55
DeMarcus Cousins2728-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-111114.715.1-0.4314.015.0-0.95
Nikola Jokic6464-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.06-7-4-315.014.80.2014.714.70.07
Monte Morris6162-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-4-315.014.90.1914.814.50.35
Bones Hyland4544-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-5-115.114.90.1614.814.60.24
Jeff Green5958-0.34-0.16-0.190.10-154-1915.214.60.5714.614.9-0.31
Austin Rivers6361-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-7-4-315.214.50.7414.814.60.25
Aaron Gordon6564-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-121-1315.114.70.4814.515.1-0.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 91, SAC 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.17,089.3%
BOS 104, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,088.7%
HOU 100, VAN 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.03,088.6%