NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	127		Excitement	9.4 [97]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +63.1%
Indiana Pacers	124		Comeback	7.2 [267]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -8.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0.63	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.63	0.17	0.44	-0.02	26	67%	0.77	4	-0.14	9	100%	0.14
Evan Mobley	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	15	58%	0.20	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	14	66%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dean Wade	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	9	68%	0.37	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.01	14	78%	0.32	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	10	68%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	117%	0.20	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.06	0.00	8	79%	0.10	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	14	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	15	40%	0.16	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.3	25.3	14.6	23.5	2.6	38.3	137.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -39.0%

CLE +33.1%

CLE +11.2%

CLE +41.8%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	14.5	125.7	121.6	110.8
season	15.2	14.4		110.6	111.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		115.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.5	14.3	16.8	15.5	14.5
IND	15.6	12.8	12.7	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	38	41	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.62	12	-9	21	13.9	14.8	-0.94	14.2	13.7	0.54
Darius Garland	77	79	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-15	33	14.3	15.1	-0.82	14.4	12.2	2.26
Isaac Okoro	71	70	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.53	10	-7	17	14.9	13.5	1.41	14.1	13.5	0.61
Dean Wade	78	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	14.8	13.4	1.32	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Evan Mobley	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-3	9	14.0	16.0	-2.06	14.0	13.8	0.17
Cedi Osman	24	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	10	-17	13.9	14.6	-0.71	13.7	14.0	-0.28
Ed Davis	20	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	9	-15	15.8	14.1	1.68	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	64	63	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.19	-2	5	-7	14.7	13.9	0.80	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Kevin Love	31	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	13	-23	13.6	14.8	-1.26	14.4	13.7	0.62
Rajon Rondo	24	23	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	18	-33	15.1	14.3	0.82	12.2	14.4	-2.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	41	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-6	9	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Chris Duarte	35	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	13.1	14.4	-1.27	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Isaiah Jackson	45	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	0	-3	14.6	13.4	1.17	14.7	14.2	0.54
Tyrese Haliburton	81	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-7	11	13.6	15.3	-1.78	15.4	10.5	4.87
Buddy Hield	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-4	5	14.2	12.8	1.41	15.0	12.4	2.67
Duane Washington Jr.	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.42	7	-10	17	13.5	14.2	-0.77	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Oshae Brissett	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	6	-15	13.1	14.7	-1.57	14.7	14.2	0.55
Jalen Smith	60	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	14.3	13.4	0.88	14.6	14.2	0.44
Malcolm Brogdon	78	77	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.41	-15	12	-27	14.4	12.4	1.97	14.2	15.3	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.91,0	90.5%
NJN 89, LAL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.58,0	89.8%
ATL 98, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.28,0	89.5%