NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	6.5 [541]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (WAS): +28.9%
Washington Wizards	114		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -10.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.22	0.01	0.03	12	84%	0.23	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Trae Young	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.15	-0.01	0.14	-0.02	22	45%	0.18	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.08
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	17	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
John Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29	0.29	0.29	0.05	0.05	12	104%	0.32	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.01	10	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	21	48%	-0.00	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	27.5	14.7	24.7	1.0	41.1	136.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -31.0%

ATL +28.9%

ATL +20.8%

ATL +30.5%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	14.5	124.5	117.5	110.8
season	14.6	14.9		114.3	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.1	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	12.6	16.6	19.6	15.7
WAS	15.6	16.2	12.8	13.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	46	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-4	11	16.3	15.1	1.12	14.3	14.7	-0.36
Delon Wright	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	16.5	14.9	1.61	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Danilo Gallinari	53	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-10	23	15.5	16.0	-0.50	14.8	14.1	0.66
Bogdan Bogdanovic	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	5	-7	16.0	14.9	1.07	14.6	14.3	0.23
Lou Williams	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	-3	9	15.7	15.7	0.07	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Trae Young	67	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	6	-9	15.7	15.7	-0.07	14.5	14.5	0.03
De'Andre Hunter	70	73	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.40	-9	12	-21	15.4	16.4	-0.97	14.1	15.7	-1.68
Kevin Huerter	44	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	15.0	16.3	-1.26	15.1	13.9	1.19
Clint Capela	48	48	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	7	-11	15.1	16.3	-1.12	14.7	14.3	0.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	56	54	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.34	15	-18	33	14.2	14.8	-0.60	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Daniel Gafford	39	37	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-3	3	14.7	14.3	0.35	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-11	19	13.9	15.6	-1.70	15.6	15.9	-0.38
Kyle Kuzma	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.40	9	-12	21	14.3	14.9	-0.56	15.8	15.5	0.29
Corey Kispert	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	15.2	13.7	1.44	15.7	15.7	0.02
Deni Avdija	47	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-3	3	13.7	15.2	-1.44	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Thomas Bryant	41	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	5	-13	15.1	14.0	1.15	15.9	15.6	0.30
Tomas Satoransky	34	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	11	-25	15.1	14.2	0.93	16.0	15.5	0.51
Rui Hachimura	50	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	3	-9	14.5	14.4	0.07	16.6	14.8	1.82
Ish Smith	34	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	13	-29	14.6	14.4	0.20	15.4	15.8	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
LAC 106, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
GSW 100, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%