inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 100 Excitement5.3 [772] MVPAndre Iguodala (GSW): +13.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 84 Comeback1.1 [1106] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -23.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Iguodala0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.020.02983%0.161-0.02667%0.03
Stephen Curry0.120,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.01,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.100.022157%0.224-0.107100%0.07
Harrison Barnes0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.000.021170%0.132-0.06580%0.01
Shaun Livingston0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.023100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Clark-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.0410%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00536%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Draymond Green-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00750%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01337%0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Klay Thompson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.04-0.03944%0.033-0.1000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.0130%-0.043-0.0600%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.000.05783%0.0800.004100%0.01
Russ Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02262%0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.001358%0.156-0.177100%0.07
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.08-0.020.081559%0.012-0.041493%0.04
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.030.00475%0.053-0.09475%-0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0220%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.02-0.04720%-0.062-0.031100%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.01819%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.22-0.04-0.021215%-0.134-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.035.115.430.52.428.6138.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +66.5%
MEM -8.0%
MEM -9.4%
GSW +2.5%
MEM -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game14.314.814.9102.084.0105.1
season13.715.7112.3103.4
opponent14.815.1106.7102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.012.513.716.314.3
MEM15.014.713.416.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes66670.55-0.050.60-0.1524-83214.214.4-0.2314.515.4-0.89
Shaun Livingston46470.490.010.480.111331013.614.9-1.3215.514.21.38
Stephen Curry70720.360.140.21-0.111601614.513.70.8514.116.6-2.46
Klay Thompson71730.330.170.160.01115613.915.3-1.3914.914.60.28
Andre Iguodala56560.290.200.090.0397214.314.30.0413.915.9-2.02
Leandro Barbosa29300.230.27-0.040.05610-413.314.7-1.3916.014.31.76
Festus Ezeli39400.220.28-0.07-0.11115615.513.51.9515.614.31.33
Andrew Bogut30310.120.38-0.26-0.06610-414.814.00.7915.314.60.76
Jason Thompson220.050.45-0.40-0.01214-1220.514.26.349.014.9-5.92
James Michael McAdoo980.010.49-0.480.10-319-2217.414.03.4813.914.9-1.01
Ian Clark45-0.010.51-0.520.08-319-2216.714.22.579.415.1-5.68
Draymond Green5657-0.020.52-0.550.09-420-2414.514.00.5815.414.01.44
Marreese Speights1212-0.110.61-0.720.12-824-329.914.9-4.9815.214.70.42

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley6667-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-131015.313.81.5214.413.90.51
Tony Allen4747-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-11615.913.91.9814.414.20.23
Marc Gasol8080-0.15-0.350.21-0.00-5-11615.213.12.0614.811.83.00
Courtney Lee6866-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-10414.515.5-1.0814.014.8-0.74
Jeff Green3634-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-12814.115.2-1.0815.713.52.22
Zach Randolph6463-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-8015.313.91.3413.515.6-2.09
Russ Smith3028-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-3-1013.915.2-1.3313.314.7-1.40
Matt Barnes5452-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-171-1814.415.3-0.8913.914.8-0.90
JaMychal Green5553-0.580.08-0.65-0.02-193-2213.915.9-1.9814.314.20.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 83, UTA 690.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.4%
MIA 117, PHX 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,094.2%
PHI 106, TOR 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,094.1%