NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	7.1 [435]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): +26.8%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	3.4 [480]		LVP	Aaron Holiday (PHX): -11.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.14	-0.02	17	65%	0.32	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.03	13	47%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	20	58%	0.11	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	13	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Trent Forrest	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.02	11	85%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.02	7	73%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.03	15	77%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	24	58%	0.14	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	27.3	15.7	29.4	3.2	34.5	137.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.2%

UTA +2.3%

UTA +25.0%

PHX -1.4%

PHX -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	14.3	14.5	129.7	126.7	110.8
season	14.8	14.2		115.1	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	18.5	16.0	18.9	17.5
PHX	14.7	12.0	16.0	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	41	39	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-12	28	16.3	18.4	-2.08	15.7	13.3	2.38
Jordan Clarkson	47	47	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.18	20	-16	36	16.9	18.1	-1.22	16.1	12.4	3.78
Hassan Whiteside	32	33	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-15	34	18.3	17.0	1.36	16.6	13.0	3.57
Trent Forrest	21	21	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	-9	22	16.2	17.8	-1.65	15.9	13.9	2.04
Donovan Mitchell	67	67	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	7	-10	18.6	14.2	4.36	14.2	14.7	-0.41
Rudy Gay	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	-2	8	14.5	18.6	-4.09	16.2	13.6	2.54
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	12	-20	19.0	15.1	3.98	13.5	15.6	-2.02
Mike Conley	57	54	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.36	-15	19	-34	16.9	18.4	-1.56	12.5	17.1	-4.66
Rudy Gobert	59	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.36	-15	19	-34	17.0	18.3	-1.36	13.0	16.6	-3.57
Royce O'Neale	50	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	17	-30	18.4	16.3	2.08	13.1	16.1	-3.00

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	64	65	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-20	36	13.1	17.4	-4.28	19.1	13.4	5.71
Landry Shamet	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-2	0	15.0	14.1	0.93	15.2	18.2	-3.06
Jae Crowder	65	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-15	26	13.6	16.4	-2.85	18.4	15.2	3.24
Cameron Johnson	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-14	24	14.0	15.4	-1.41	18.8	14.1	4.68
Aaron Holiday	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	8	-20	14.9	13.9	1.02	15.2	19.5	-4.27
Torrey Craig	23	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	11	-26	16.7	13.5	3.16	14.3	18.7	-4.36
Mikal Bridges	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	14.1	15.2	-1.16	18.3	14.7	3.57
Devin Booker	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.4	14.2	0.19	17.6	16.9	0.71
JaVale McGee	26	25	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	16	-36	17.4	13.1	4.28	13.8	18.8	-5.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.9%
PHI 112, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.02,0	91.1%
TOR 100, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	90.9%