NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	7.4 [327]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +23.2%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	2.8 [195]		LVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): -13.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	11	82%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	29	53%	0.03	4	-0.04	18	78%	0.02
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	-0.00	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	110%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	24	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	14	64%	-0.08
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	18	51%	0.08	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	18	57%	0.08	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.2	31.4	15.8	23.2	2.4	43.6	139.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -3.8%

PHI +31.6%

WAS -8.8%

PHI +33.1%

WAS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.7	113.1	106.1	100.5
season	16.2	15.2		96.7	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.8		102.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	15.0	16.4	13.0	15.0
WAS	14.1	13.8	14.9	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	45	45	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-8	23	14.4	15.5	-1.10	16.5	12.1	4.36
Eric Snow	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-5	17	15.3	13.9	1.47	13.8	15.0	-1.24
Allen Iverson	95	94	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	6	-5	14.9	17.5	-2.61	14.1	13.6	0.52
Willie Green	26	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	2	3	12.6	15.9	-3.29	14.3	14.0	0.27
Marc Jackson	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	4	-1	16.2	11.0	5.15	14.0	14.3	-0.22
John Salmons	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	4	-1	13.0	16.2	-3.19	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Aaron McKie	82	80	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	10	-13	15.5	12.4	3.20	13.2	17.8	-4.58
Amal McCaskill	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.81	12.9	14.3	-1.46
Kyle Korver	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	7	-7	10.9	15.4	-4.52	17.4	13.8	3.69
Derrick Coleman	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	16.9	14.1	2.77	13.7	14.3	-0.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	39	40	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-17	27	13.9	14.2	-0.28	16.0	14.3	1.72
Steve Blake	7	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	12.9	14.2	-1.33	20.0	14.7	5.27
Larry Hughes	78	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-8	9	13.4	16.5	-3.03	15.2	14.3	0.88
Jarvis Hayes	84	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	13.6	16.9	-3.27	15.2	13.3	1.90
Juan Dixon	22	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	1	-9	16.0	13.6	2.40	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Jared Jeffries	34	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	2	-11	14.5	13.9	0.67	12.4	16.3	-3.91
Christian Laettner	84	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.60	15.0	14.9	0.15
Gilbert Arenas	91	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	14.3	11.9	2.41	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Etan Thomas	56	54	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	10	-27	14.8	13.1	1.68	15.4	14.5	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.16,0	93.9%
SAS 86, HOU 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.3%