NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	8.9 [143]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +30.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	120		Comeback	3.4 [177]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -21.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.22,0.3	0.20	0.11	0.01	21	75%	0.47	6	-0.17	14	79%	-0.03
Georges Niang	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.00	12	69%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	81%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	20	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.02	13	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	100%	0.05
Matisse Thybulle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	23	63%	0.45	3	-0.22	5	80%	0.01
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	12	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.10	-0.01	15	63%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Lindell Wigginton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	20	41%	-0.09	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	31.3	14.8	27.2	2.6	44.6	147.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.3%

PHI +12.1%

PHI +0.4%

PHI +6.7%

PHI +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.4	14.5	119.4	115.4	110.8
season	15.2	13.7		112.4	112.2
opponent	14.8	14.6		109.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	13.2	15.0	14.4	14.5
MIL	15.1	13.0	15.0	10.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	64	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.18	18	-15	33	13.4	16.2	-2.74	13.5	13.0	0.54
Joel Embiid	77	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-10	23	14.3	15.0	-0.75	14.0	11.2	2.74
Georges Niang	85	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	14.6	13.7	0.98	13.5	12.6	0.90
Tyrese Maxey	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-7	17	14.3	15.2	-0.84	13.8	11.5	2.30
Tobias Harris	85	87	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	14.5	14.6	-0.10	13.7	11.8	1.83
Danny Green	31	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	8	-13	14.5	14.5	0.01	12.2	13.8	-1.58
Matisse Thybulle	31	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.26	-14	17	-31	15.9	13.9	2.04	13.8	13.2	0.62
Paul Millsap	26	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.12	-10	13	-23	15.0	14.3	0.75	11.2	14.0	-2.74
Shake Milton	30	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	15	-27	15.2	14.2	0.97	11.0	14.3	-3.22

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	1	3	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-5	7	0.0	13.5	-13.49	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Lindell Wigginton	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-9	15	11.7	14.2	-2.54	14.8	14.3	0.52
Serge Ibaka	50	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	0	-3	13.5	13.2	0.24	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Sandro Mamukelashvili	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	15.0	13.3	1.71	10.0	14.7	-4.66
Bobby Portis	59	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-7	11	13.8	12.7	1.10	14.6	14.3	0.38
Wesley Matthews	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.60	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Khris Middleton	81	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.50	7	-10	17	13.3	13.5	-0.21	15.2	12.1	3.11
Jordan Nwora	79	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-2	1	13.4	13.1	0.31	14.3	15.0	-0.75
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	6	-15	13.2	14.2	-0.98	14.2	15.8	-1.54
Jrue Holiday	81	80	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.35	-12	9	-21	14.1	10.8	3.30	14.4	14.7	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	90.7%
ATL 81, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.17,0	90.2%
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	89.0%