NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	8.2 [169]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (NJN): +8.8%
New Jersey Nets	76		Comeback	2.6 [317]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -34.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Larry Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	19	57%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.09
Hanno Mottola	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.28,-0.36,-0.34	-0.18	-0.15	0.01	22	35%	-0.24	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	18	60%	0.17	1	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	41%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	0.01	10	35%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	0.00	5	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	11	37%	-0.14	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	7	12%	-0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.6	31.2	15.4	25.3	1.8	39.8	135.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +1.7%

ATL +35.1%

ATL +40.8%

NJN -27.1%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.5	88.0	82.6	100.9
season	15.4	15.5		96.0	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.7	14.5	15.5	21.6	17.1
NJN	13.0	14.9	15.2	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	82	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	17.1	17.1	-0.00	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Dikembe Mutombo	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	17.8	13.7	4.02	14.9	10.8	4.07
Lorenzen Wright	82	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	16.9	18.5	-1.57	14.8	10.2	4.55
Matt Maloney	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	4	-3	18.1	15.4	2.77	14.5	13.6	0.89
Roshown McLeod	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-4	13	16.5	18.0	-1.53	15.3	12.5	2.82
Larry Robinson	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	6	-7	15.7	17.3	-1.56	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Cal Bowdler	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	3.0	17.3	-14.25	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Anthony Johnson	25	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	15.9	17.5	-1.62	13.0	14.6	-1.58
Hanno Mottola	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	16.8	17.2	-0.42	11.5	15.1	-3.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	8	8	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-9	13	16.6	14.0	2.65	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Sherman Douglas	23	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-10	15	14.5	14.1	0.36	19.6	16.3	3.28
Lucious Harris	38	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-12	19	13.2	14.9	-1.70	15.9	18.0	-2.12
Vladimir Stepania	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.2	14.0	1.26	14.4	17.7	-3.30
Johnny Newman	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-15	25	13.9	14.4	-0.57	17.7	16.7	0.97
Kenyon Martin	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	9	-23	14.4	13.9	0.51	16.3	18.6	-2.24
Aaron Williams	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-5	5	14.0	15.1	-1.05	17.6	14.5	3.14
Kendall Gill	44	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	9	-23	14.9	13.6	1.30	16.6	17.5	-0.97
Stephon Marbury	80	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.20	17.3	15.8	1.45
Stephen Jackson	76	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	5	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.51	17.6	14.9	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.15,0	92.3%
SAS 89, HOU 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.57,0.05,0	91.2%
POR 75, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.47,0	91.1%