NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	10.3 [59]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +61.1%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	6.5 [328]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -47.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.19	0.01	5	108%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	9	77%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Malik Monk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	9	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.02	13	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.47	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.37,-0.47	-0.10	-0.37	-0.00	27	41%	-0.31	4	-0.16	9	56%	-0.19

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.61,0.61	0.61	0.20	0.41	-0.00	22	67%	0.63	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	15	54%	0.18	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	17	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	11	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	3.3	29.5	14.5	33.9	2.7	36.0	151.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.8%

LAL -2.8%

LAL -16.2%

GSW +1.8%

GSW +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.5	113.9	117.0	110.8
season	14.3	14.2		109.5	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.2		106.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.4	14.0	13.3	18.1	14.0
GSW	13.9	15.4	13.8	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	61	61	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.12	8	-10	18	13.9	14.1	-0.30	14.8	14.5	0.37
Trevor Ariza	34	34	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-6	10	12.9	14.5	-1.68	15.1	14.5	0.56
Malik Monk	42	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-9	16	13.5	14.3	-0.76	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Stanley Johnson	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.1	-0.26	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Avery Bradley	55	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	13.5	14.5	-0.93	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Russell Westbrook	74	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.58	2	-4	6	13.9	14.1	-0.14	14.9	14.2	0.69
Austin Reaves	46	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	16.3	12.1	4.21	15.2	14.2	1.00
Anthony Davis	75	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.58	-6	4	-10	13.8	14.6	-0.82	14.7	14.7	0.03
LeBron James	82	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	9	-20	14.0	13.6	0.42	14.6	15.0	-0.39

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	69	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-5	12	14.4	15.3	-0.87	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Stephen Curry	77	77	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-6	14	14.7	14.8	-0.12	14.6	12.1	2.48
Klay Thompson	61	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-8	18	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.9	12.4	2.51
Jordan Poole	50	49	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	15.5	13.9	1.58	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Otto Porter Jr.	48	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	-2	6	14.5	14.9	-0.37	14.1	13.9	0.18
Nemanja Bjelica	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	-5	12	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.4	13.2	3.19
Kevon Looney	60	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	8	-14	14.8	14.5	0.23	12.5	16.3	-3.85
Gary Payton II	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	9	-16	13.8	15.0	-1.19	11.1	14.9	-3.84
Juan Toscano-Anderson	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	2.0	14.8	-12.82	11.0	14.0	-3.00
Jonathan Kuminga	53	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	14.5	14.9	-0.30	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Damion Lee	31	31	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.03	-16	18	-34	15.3	14.4	0.82	14.8	13.6	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.45,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.5%
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	91.1%
UTA 107, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.31,0.29,0.53,0.58,1	91.0%