NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	8.1 [254]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +21.5%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	2.9 [689]		LVP	Darko Milicic (ORL): -17.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	29	51%	0.07	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
John Salmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	19	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.01	14	66%	0.22	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.07	-0.08	19	54%	0.23	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	14	60%	0.21	3	-0.07	19	53%	-0.19
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	11	36%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.3	29.4	19.6	30.4	2.4	30.6	141.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +26.1%

PHI -3.2%

ORL +25.6%

ORL +2.9%

PHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.6	106.6	112.1	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		104.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	15.3	15.8	20.4	15.9
ORL	13.0	15.3	16.2	19.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	14	14	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.02	9	-14	23	15.7	16.0	-0.25	15.8	15.7	0.07
Shavlik Randolph	19	20	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-12	19	15.9	15.9	-0.04	16.2	15.6	0.61
John Salmons	24	24	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-14	23	16.1	15.9	0.22	17.1	15.2	1.84
Samuel Dalembert	44	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-5	5	16.2	15.7	0.54	16.7	14.8	1.91
Kyle Korver	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-5	5	15.9	16.0	-0.16	16.2	13.9	2.28
Allen Iverson	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	4	-13	15.9	16.6	-0.72	15.7	15.4	0.34
Steven Hunter	62	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.27	-13	8	-21	15.9	15.9	0.04	14.5	18.0	-3.50
Chris Webber	72	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	7	-19	15.9	15.9	0.04	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Andre Iguodala	63	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.26	-16	11	-27	15.8	16.2	-0.42	15.1	17.3	-2.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	61	60	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-5	15	16.2	14.8	1.33	16.2	15.4	0.86
Jameer Nelson	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	15.4	17.8	-2.44	15.5	18.0	-2.45
Dwight Howard	78	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-7	19	15.3	18.1	-2.74	15.4	19.1	-3.64
Tony Battie	60	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-1	7	16.5	14.1	2.42	16.6	14.7	1.81
DeShawn Stevenson	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	15.8	15.3	0.51	16.7	13.6	3.02
Trevor Ariza	30	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	10	-15	14.8	16.2	-1.33	15.4	16.2	-0.86
Darko Milicic	43	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	11	-17	15.6	15.8	-0.18	15.9	15.9	0.02
Keyon Dooling	36	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.03	-9	14	-23	15.9	15.6	0.27	15.3	16.3	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	92.8%
NYK 84, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.3%
ATL 98, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.9,0.91,1	91.6%