NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	6.1 [616]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +24.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	55.5 [15]		LVP	Evan Fournier (NYK): -32.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.03	0.01	12	79%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	10	77%	0.20	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	20	53%	0.03	5	-0.11	13	92%	0.04
Evan Fournier	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	13	14%	-0.20	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.14	0.03	23	61%	0.34	2	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.01	12	65%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	12	72%	0.21	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elijah Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	10	61%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
CJ Elleby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Brown III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	26.5	14.6	32.2	1.8	31.3	136.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.3%

POR +6.2%

POR +7.7%

POR +1.8%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.0	14.5	104.0	112.0	110.8
season	15.1	14.6		109.4	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		115.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.6	13.6	16.8	15.0
POR	14.4	13.1	15.2	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	31	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.07	4	-13	17	13.7	15.5	-1.77	14.7	13.7	1.09
Obi Toppin	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-3	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.80	14.4	13.9	0.44
Mitchell Robinson	28	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	-3	-3	15.3	14.8	0.45	15.9	13.2	2.73
Taj Gibson	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-19	29	14.7	15.3	-0.61	13.4	14.8	-1.49
Kemba Walker	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	15.7	14.1	1.56	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Jericho Sims	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	16.5	14.8	1.68	12.4	14.2	-1.79
Immanuel Quickley	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	1	-11	15.4	14.8	0.62	12.5	14.4	-1.91
Alec Burks	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.29	15.0	13.3	1.70
Julius Randle	82	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-5	1	14.9	15.1	-0.19	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Evan Fournier	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.36	-4	-5	1	15.1	14.6	0.53	14.0	14.0	0.04
Quentin Grimes	74	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	4	-17	15.1	14.4	0.75	13.9	14.2	-0.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	64	62	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.20	22	-13	35	14.1	13.8	0.33	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Jusuf Nurkic	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	3	3	14.2	13.6	0.59	15.2	14.3	0.95
Josh Hart	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-3	15	13.6	15.4	-1.82	15.4	13.4	2.04
Justise Winslow	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	4	1	14.2	13.4	0.84	15.2	14.3	0.91
Anfernee Simons	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	4	1	14.2	13.4	0.84	15.2	14.3	0.91
Elijah Hughes	25	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	5	-1	13.4	14.2	-0.84	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Trendon Watford	31	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.18	3	6	-3	13.6	14.2	-0.59	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Greg Brown III	35	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.14	0	9	-9	14.5	13.7	0.81	13.9	15.5	-1.58
CJ Elleby	49	50	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	21	-33	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.9	15.0	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	88.9%
BOS 92, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.85,0.95,1	88.8%
WAS 119, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.26,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.8,0.91,1	88.6%