NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	7.6 [300]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +18.2%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	56.5 [30]		LVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): -23.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	5	86%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Loy Vaught	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
David Vanterpool	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Laron Profit	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	56%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	22	60%	0.02	8	-0.19	6	100%	0.05
Courtney Alexander	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.23	-0.04	-0.16	0.03	22	50%	-0.11	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.15	0.04	19	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	20	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	14	65%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	22	45%	-0.03	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.5	15.4	25.1	1.7	40.6	138.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.3%

WAS -10.8%

ATL +3.7%

ATL +17.0%

WAS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	15.5	113.3	115.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.4		98.6	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.2	12.2	14.7	15.7	13.6
ATL	12.2	16.1	16.6	10.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vanterpool	32	32	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-9	15	14.4	13.3	1.05	13.9	13.5	0.37
Tyrone Nesby	40	42	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.02	5	-8	13	14.2	13.3	0.93	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Mike Smith	6	5	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-7	11	12.0	13.7	-1.75	18.4	13.4	4.98
Loy Vaught	52	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-3	3	14.9	12.4	2.49	14.0	13.3	0.71
Christian Laettner	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	0	-3	12.1	14.0	-1.88	12.5	14.0	-1.51
Michael Smith	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-7	11	13.6	13.7	-0.04	13.8	13.3	0.54
Laron Profit	83	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	4	-11	13.2	15.2	-2.00	13.6	13.9	-0.33
Courtney Alexander	84	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	3	-9	13.0	16.2	-3.18	13.0	16.4	-3.45
Popeye Jones	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	6	-15	13.6	13.8	-0.23	14.3	12.6	1.65
Richard Hamilton	73	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	6	-15	14.0	12.9	1.11	13.8	13.4	0.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	49	51	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.23	21	-18	39	13.0	14.2	-1.29	15.3	12.1	3.20
Nazr Mohammed	70	68	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.48	9	-6	15	13.3	14.3	-1.03	13.2	14.5	-1.34
Dion Glover	89	91	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-11	25	13.9	12.2	1.69	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Lorenzen Wright	87	88	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-4	11	13.8	12.9	0.92	13.2	15.9	-2.67
Jason Terry	91	89	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.54	-6	9	-15	13.4	15.1	-1.65	13.2	16.4	-3.22
Alan Henderson	25	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	13.5	13.7	-0.17	15.6	13.1	2.56
DerMarr Johnson	37	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	9	-15	14.2	13.3	0.87	15.2	12.8	2.44
Matt Maloney	52	48	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.18	-14	17	-31	13.8	13.5	0.38	12.1	14.9	-2.84
Cal Bowdler	30	30	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	13	-23	14.1	13.5	0.63	14.4	13.3	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.26,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.8,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.74,1	92.5%
NYK 104, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.94,0.77,0.91,1	92.0%
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	90.6%