NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	7.4 [274]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +32.1%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	28.0 [69]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -11.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.15,0.21,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	31	58%	0.22	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.07
Josh Harrellson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,0,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.19	0.03	16	67%	0.36	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	6	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	0.6	27.6	16.3	29.3	1.7	42.5	146.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.8%

IND +20.5%

IND +13.1%

IND +10.4%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	115.6	123.1	102.8
season	14.9	15.7		102.3	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.1	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	15.7	16.5	17.3	16.0
IND	15.5	15.6	17.9	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	27	28	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.09	4	-12	16	15.3	16.3	-0.94	15.9	15.8	0.13
Landry Fields	44	45	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-12	16	15.8	16.2	-0.33	15.9	15.8	0.06
Mike Bibby	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	13.1	16.4	-3.30	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Josh Harrellson	18	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-4	0	14.5	16.4	-1.86	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Steve Novak	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	0	-8	16.4	15.8	0.56	12.9	16.9	-4.02
Tyson Chandler	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-6	4	16.3	14.7	1.58	16.3	13.7	2.61
J.R. Smith	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-4	0	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	16.5	13.4	3.10	15.9	15.4	0.59
Baron Davis	52	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.41	-8	0	-8	16.9	14.7	2.21	17.3	13.9	3.41
Iman Shumpert	70	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	6	-20	15.7	16.8	-1.11	16.1	14.9	1.13

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	43	41	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-9	26	15.2	16.4	-1.23	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Lou Amundson	41	40	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.35	14	-6	20	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.1	15.9	0.29
Danny Granger	72	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-6	20	15.6	16.6	-0.94	16.1	15.7	0.42
George Hill	54	53	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	15.2	16.8	-1.64	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Paul George	55	54	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	0	8	16.4	14.9	1.52	15.9	16.1	-0.11
Dahntay Jones	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	5	-2	15.5	16.0	-0.46	17.3	15.4	1.91
David West	46	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	13	-18	16.1	15.6	0.51	16.0	16.0	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	27	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	16	-24	16.0	15.7	0.29	14.8	16.5	-1.75
Roy Hibbert	45	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.05	-8	16	-24	16.6	15.1	1.56	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Darren Collison	48	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.07	-9	17	-26	16.4	15.2	1.23	16.0	15.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.94,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 119, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.26,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.8,0.91,1	92.0%
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	91.4%
PHX 102, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.74,1	91.3%