NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	8.8 [163]		MVP	Norman Powell (POR): +24.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.2 [670]		LVP	Robert Covington (POR): -28.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.13	0.03	20	65%	0.34	2	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Trendon Watford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Elleby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Anfernee Simons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	18	49%	0.02	1	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	17	42%	-0.00	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	15	48%	0.01	3	-0.17	3	0%	-0.06
Robert Covington	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	8	0%	-0.22	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.03	0.01	12	86%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0.1,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	18	60%	0.26	3	-0.11	14	71%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	3	62%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	29%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	12	33%	-0.14	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	30.2	14.8	27.3	2.3	37.5	138.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.4%

LAL +20.2%

POR -1.3%

LAL +14.4%

LAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	14.5	94.9	99.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.3		106.9	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	15.8	13.6	14.0	14.6
LAL	13.6	14.2	15.7	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Smith Jr.	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-5	5	14.2	14.8	-0.61	15.8	13.6	2.22
CJ Elleby	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	12.8	15.1	-2.28	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Robert Covington	76	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-6	7	14.4	15.3	-0.90	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Ben McLemore	37	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	12.4	15.9	-3.49	14.5	14.2	0.26
Trendon Watford	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	0	-5	13.8	15.0	-1.12	15.5	13.8	1.63
Anfernee Simons	73	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	15.0	13.6	1.41	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Jusuf Nurkic	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	15.0	13.5	1.47	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Norman Powell	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.2	11.9	3.30	14.5	13.4	1.18
CJ McCollum	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	3	-11	15.6	12.2	3.36	14.0	15.2	-1.20

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-10	25	12.5	19.4	-6.88	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Talen Horton-Tucker	38	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-3	11	15.2	13.8	1.46	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Avery Bradley	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	13.7	15.4	-1.67	15.5	13.0	2.54
Anthony Davis	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	3	-1	14.3	14.3	0.05	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Malik Monk	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-6	17	13.8	15.3	-1.54	15.0	14.0	1.01
Russell Westbrook	72	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	13.5	16.4	-2.91	14.9	13.9	1.07
Austin Reaves	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.19	3	2	1	15.7	13.2	2.45	13.8	15.3	-1.56
Stanley Johnson	37	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	10	-15	15.3	13.8	1.49	13.9	15.0	-1.17
Dwight Howard	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	18.9	13.3	5.64	16.8	14.1	2.75
Kent Bazemore	13	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	16	-27	18.1	13.8	4.31	14.8	14.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 71, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.99,1	93.0%
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.9%
CHI 89, BKN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.96,1	92.5%