NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	7.4 [342]		MVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): +25.4%
Brooklyn Nets	93		Comeback	2.4 [629]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -12.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.16	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.04
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	82%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	18	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	16	33%	0.01	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.05

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	7	69%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	4	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	10	59%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	14	46%	0.11	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.13	4	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	26.4	14.8	26.2	2.6	37.5	135.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +65.1%

CHI -16.6%

BKN +13.2%

CHI -9.9%

CHI -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.4	101.1	103.3	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.4	16.9	19.0	12.8	16.6
BKN	16.8	14.4	15.3	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Teague	13	13	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	17.2	16.5	0.75	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Richard Hamilton	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	4	-12	18.3	15.6	2.67	16.0	15.7	0.29
Nazr Mohammed	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	5	-14	18.5	16.2	2.27	16.4	15.7	0.77
Jimmy Butler	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-9	14	16.2	18.5	-2.27	15.7	16.4	-0.77
Marco Belinelli	57	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-8	12	15.6	18.3	-2.67	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Taj Gibson	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.6	0.0	16.59	15.8	0.0	15.78
Luol Deng	88	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	16.6	0.0	16.59	15.9	3.0	12.92
Nate Robinson	75	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	16.5	17.2	-0.75	15.9	15.2	0.71

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	78	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	15.9	15.2	0.71	16.5	17.2	-0.75
CJ Watson	41	40	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	0	4	15.3	16.2	-0.94	14.9	18.0	-3.01
Andray Blatche	32	31	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	16.4	15.4	0.93	14.6	17.7	-3.05
MarShon Brooks	37	36	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	16.7	15.2	1.52	17.6	15.9	1.68
Joe Johnson	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-3	10	15.3	17.7	-2.43	16.6	16.5	0.15
Deron Williams	67	64	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	6	-8	16.2	14.7	1.51	16.1	17.8	-1.71
Keith Bogans	20	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	5	-6	15.1	16.0	-0.81	16.3	16.7	-0.36
Kris Humphries	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	15.2	15.9	-0.71	17.2	16.5	0.75
Brook Lopez	53	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	4	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.52	18.2	14.4	3.86
Reggie Evans	38	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	5	-6	15.8	15.7	0.07	17.7	15.8	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.6%
NJN 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.5%
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.3%