inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Excitement9.7 [79] MVPReggie Bullock (DAL): +48.2%
Dallas Mavericks 114 Comeback5.4 [141] LVPJosh Giddey (OKC): -21.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.28,0.310.200.170.071775%0.351-0.046100%0.03
Tre Mann0.310,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.210.110.011481%0.352-0.05887%0.03
Kenrich Williams0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2-0.030.22-0.00850%0.252-0.0500%0.00
Darius Bazley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.070.10-0.021243%0.153-0.10650%-0.05
Ty Jerome0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00955%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Mike Muscala0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00371%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00480%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Theo Maledon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mamadi Diakite-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.210,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.120.011354%-0.016-0.2000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.480.480.140.350.021668%0.4800.002100%0.01
Luka Doncic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.130.130.110.060.043357%0.193-0.06475%0.00
Frank Ntilikina0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.030.03956%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marquese Chriss0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00560%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00636%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.011856%0.136-0.1900%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.090.01721%-0.151-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.52.426.615.324.42.334.31.612.2141.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.32.315.4134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +33.1%
OKC +15.8%
OKC +24.9%
DAL -34.4%
OKC +10.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game14.916.414.5116.5114.0110.8
season14.415.6103.2112.4
opponent14.514.4109.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC16.314.613.516.013.414.9
DAL15.715.416.517.518.416.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luguentz Dort76750.71-0.210.920.2715-92415.014.70.3616.516.00.51
Josh Giddey59590.58-0.080.650.2810-41415.714.01.7116.815.90.92
Aaron Wiggins46450.360.140.230.167-1815.714.41.3017.215.71.50
Tre Mann79760.260.240.020.0860615.313.61.7016.914.82.09
Darius Bazley70650.170.33-0.160.1706-614.715.5-0.8616.216.8-0.54
Kenrich Williams58550.140.36-0.210.17-17-814.116.0-1.8615.717.2-1.50
Mike Muscala39380.040.46-0.420.07-17-813.915.6-1.6716.016.7-0.68
Mamadi Diakite3434-0.020.52-0.54-0.0515-415.914.41.4616.516.40.08
Theo Maledon1112-0.120.62-0.740.05-612-1813.915.1-1.1514.716.7-1.99
Ty Jerome3332-0.120.62-0.750.08-713-2014.515.1-0.6615.217.0-1.86

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Brunson81830.06-0.560.62-0.033-91216.715.31.3614.915.2-0.33
Dwight Powell24250.00-0.500.510.03-1-5416.316.5-0.1714.715.0-0.28
Frank Ntilikina2122-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-6614.716.9-2.2213.415.4-1.99
Maxi Kleber7982-0.19-0.310.12-0.190-6617.014.32.6414.815.5-0.68
Reggie Bullock7275-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.373-91216.316.6-0.2615.014.60.40
Josh Green3738-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-81015.017.2-2.2114.215.4-1.23
Marquese Chriss2628-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-71-815.016.9-1.9216.014.51.52
Dorian Finney-Smith8181-0.630.13-0.76-0.25-137-2016.914.52.3415.213.81.47
Luka Doncic7981-0.740.24-0.98-0.24-1711-2816.814.91.9815.214.01.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 119, SAC 1130.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.05,0.05,093.0%
DET 99, TOR 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.54,0.31,0.04,0.03,0.08,091.3%
HOU 116, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,090.7%