NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	8.5 [175]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (DET): +20.7%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	2.9 [429]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -23.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.15	0.00	6	67%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	9	84%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	61%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.16	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	39%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.29,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	26	41%	-0.03	6	-0.15	7	86%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.14	0.02	13	67%	0.31	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	14	53%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.00	5	67%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	31	39%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.07
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.16	0.02	9	33%	-0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	29.7	18.6	23.5	2.4	35.3	2.4	19.6	155.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +75.3%

DET +0.6%

TOR -3.5%

TOR -23.7%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	17.9	13.9	15.5	100.0	94.1	106.4
season	16.9	15.1		104.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.8	18.3	17.1	20.9	17.6	17.9
TOR	13.6	14.4	15.6	12.8	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	72	72	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.51	14	-10	24	17.5	19.1	-1.59	14.1	13.5	0.57
Antonio McDyess	85	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	17.9	17.8	0.16	14.0	13.7	0.24
Rodney Stuckey	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	17.2	20.7	-3.48	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Richard Hamilton	85	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-1	6	17.9	17.8	0.16	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Tayshaun Prince	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	18.0	17.5	0.54	13.5	15.7	-2.24
Will Bynum	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	20.7	17.2	3.48	14.8	13.7	1.10
Arron Afflalo	42	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	17.5	18.3	-0.81	13.5	14.2	-0.74
Walter Herrmann	12	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	18.8	17.8	1.04	14.8	13.8	1.06
Kwame Brown	18	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.06	-10	14	-24	19.5	17.6	1.93	16.1	13.4	2.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	53	53	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.33	15	-19	34	13.6	14.2	-0.59	19.4	16.2	3.18
Roko Leni Ukic	20	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	13.7	14.0	-0.28	21.5	17.1	4.46
Andrea Bargnani	18	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	14.4	13.8	0.57	16.9	18.1	-1.25
Jake Voskuhl	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	1	-6	13.8	14.0	-0.19	16.7	18.2	-1.53
Joey Graham	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-3	2	14.7	13.6	1.09	20.0	17.2	2.73
Chris Bosh	90	89	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-6	8	13.8	15.1	-1.31	18.0	16.8	1.24
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	52	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	14.4	13.4	1.00	18.4	17.4	1.01
Anthony Parker	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	1	-6	14.1	13.4	0.67	17.2	20.3	-3.13
Jose Calderon	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	4	-12	14.0	13.7	0.28	17.1	21.5	-4.46
Shawn Marion	73	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.29	-15	11	-26	13.4	15.2	-1.84	16.9	20.4	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.54,0.31,0.04,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 119, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.05,0.05,0	90.5%
MIA 102, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	89.7%
CLE 126, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	89.3%