inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement7.8 [306] MVPGoran Dragic (MIA): +25.2%
Toronto Raptors 96 Comeback2.0 [305] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -24.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0.250,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.070.18-0.002058%0.353-0.09560%-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.03-0.01-0.01669%0.072-0.03475%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0.01,0.020.020.040.052153%0.083-0.073100%0.01
Joe Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01-0.070.06-0.021939%0.051-0.04367%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.00-0.01-0.00745%-0.0200.00650%-0.08
Gerald Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02956%0.085-0.1500%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0020%-0.042-0.0600%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.210.21-0.140.32-0.021327%0.293-0.0800%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.070.020.011361%0.102-0.03560%-0.05
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.12-0.030.041667%0.071-0.014100%0.02
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01771%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01956%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00425%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25-0.25-0.02-0.190.032244%-0.132-0.12667%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.53.432.317.725.72.842.72.825.3177.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +27.4%
TOR -4.5%
MIA +26.7%
TOR -7.2%
MIA +7.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game15.514.614.995.392.3105.1
season15.516.1104.5107.2
opponent14.815.1104.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.613.616.114.220.515.5
TOR14.717.315.213.59.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic77791.02-0.521.540.5815-92416.912.04.9714.913.51.46
Hassan Whiteside79770.63-0.130.750.398-21015.515.6-0.0414.714.30.39
Joe Johnson85850.380.120.270.2451415.316.6-1.3814.614.30.33
Josh Richardson48470.320.180.13-0.0111-51615.915.20.7214.614.60.06
Luol Deng82790.240.26-0.020.27-17-815.017.3-2.3214.016.4-2.33
Amar'e Stoudemire15130.120.38-0.27-0.0351417.915.22.7816.314.31.97
Dwyane Wade76740.060.44-0.390.17-410-1415.515.6-0.1513.916.4-2.50
Gerald Green1413-0.000.50-0.50-0.0006-616.615.41.1814.214.6-0.49
Justise Winslow4641-0.030.53-0.56-0.0306-614.016.7-2.6315.713.91.85
Udonis Haslem1312-0.230.73-0.950.04-915-2412.815.9-3.0714.014.7-0.66

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph4546-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-2-214.015.0-0.9915.315.7-0.34
Jonas Valanciunas8185-0.07-0.430.37-0.3610-162614.714.30.3115.216.8-1.55
Kyle Lowry8588-0.08-0.420.35-0.287-132014.315.9-1.6015.117.6-2.54
Norman Powell4342-0.15-0.350.200.02-60-616.213.52.6916.015.30.71
DeMar DeRozan8687-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-5-1-413.917.7-3.7914.918.4-3.51
Patrick Patterson3537-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-104-1414.814.50.3615.915.40.49
Terrence Ross5458-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-5-1-413.915.3-1.3715.815.20.66
Bismack Biyombo2121-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.07-137-2015.414.41.0617.615.02.52
DeMarre Carroll7071-0.590.09-0.68-0.47-4-2-215.213.31.8816.114.41.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 102, CHA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.09,0.02,091.9%
NJN 110, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.09,0,091.6%
HOU 116, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,089.8%