NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	8.1 [260]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +38.3%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	4.5 [372]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -15.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.38	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.38	0.17	0.21	0.00	22	65%	0.44	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
OG Anunoby	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.07	0.22	-0.00	13	58%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	17	60%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	20	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	0.00	16	56%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	12	93%	0.39	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.13	0.02	15	53%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	22.4	14.5	23.8	2.0	32.3	122.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.0%

ATL -3.4%

ATL -2.0%

TOR +18.9%

TOR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.5	108.2	101.0	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		111.3	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.8		113.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	15.8	12.4	17.2	15.1
ATL	13.3	12.5	14.7	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	79	81	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-11	28	14.7	17.2	-2.50	14.3	13.1	1.28
OG Anunoby	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-7	20	15.1	15.4	-0.35	14.5	13.0	1.49
Gary Trent Jr.	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	15.0	16.0	-1.01	14.3	13.0	1.31
Pascal Siakam	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	15.2	14.7	0.47	14.4	12.6	1.84
Scottie Barnes	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-3	12	15.0	15.5	-0.49	14.3	13.4	0.94
Precious Achiuwa	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	12	-18	15.4	15.0	0.45	12.8	14.9	-2.13
Justin Champagnie	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.03	-4	10	-14	15.0	15.2	-0.16	10.9	14.4	-3.51
Chris Boucher	41	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	16.1	14.4	1.68	14.3	14.0	0.33
Dalano Banton	14	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	14	-22	15.9	15.0	0.92	11.3	14.6	-3.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-13	20	13.6	14.4	-0.76	15.4	14.9	0.50
Danilo Gallinari	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.21	3	-9	12	13.5	14.6	-1.13	15.4	14.9	0.41
Delon Wright	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	14.4	13.8	0.61	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Clint Capela	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	2	-10	14.2	14.0	0.17	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Onyeka Okongwu	46	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-10	14	14.6	13.7	0.95	16.3	14.2	2.13
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	14.0	14.4	-0.40	16.1	13.6	2.51
John Collins	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	5	-16	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.4	16.2	-1.79
De'Andre Hunter	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	4	-14	14.0	14.2	-0.17	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Kevin Huerter	81	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	0	-6	14.3	13.2	1.07	14.7	17.1	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.39,0.19,0.37,0.15,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.34,0.15,0.28,0.06,0.16,0	92.8%
BKN 91, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,0	91.8%
PHX 75, DEN 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.26,0	91.4%