NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	6.2 [610]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +29.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	10.3 [402]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): -20.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.25	0.03	0.06	19	76%	0.31	2	-0.08	12	92%	0.05
Richaun Holmes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	112%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	14	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.03	-0.19	-0.02	16	42%	-0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.15	0.02	18	67%	0.39	4	-0.09	18	78%	0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	5	110%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.01	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	133%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Joe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.0	28.7	14.8	33.5	1.8	27.5	129.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +67.0%

PHI +1.0%

SAC -13.0%

SAC -8.3%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	14.5	106.3	109.6	110.8
season	14.0	15.2		109.2	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	12.5	15.5	19.5	15.1
PHI	15.3	14.7	14.5	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	42	43	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.08	2	-4	6	13.2	16.7	-3.53	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Neemias Queta	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.14	17.0	15.3	1.68
Damian Jones	34	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	9	-20	14.4	15.6	-1.18	13.2	16.7	-3.43
Davion Mitchell	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-3	4	15.2	15.0	0.21	15.5	14.9	0.65
Richaun Holmes	58	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.58	11	-13	24	15.8	14.1	1.77	16.9	13.1	3.87
Buddy Hield	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-3	4	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.6	15.1	0.50
Harrison Barnes	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-7	12	15.1	15.4	-0.36	15.9	13.2	2.67
Chimezie Metu	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	0	-2	15.7	14.8	0.96	15.5	15.3	0.20
Maurice Harkless	37	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	7	-16	16.7	14.2	2.52	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Tyrese Haliburton	83	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	4	-10	15.0	16.2	-1.27	14.8	18.2	-3.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	52	53	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	2	-2	16.1	14.4	1.69	15.9	14.1	1.82
Joel Embiid	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-3	8	15.5	14.9	0.58	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Danny Green	33	34	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	0	2	13.7	16.2	-2.49	16.2	14.6	1.62
Tyrese Maxey	79	82	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	-3	8	15.9	12.4	3.50	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Seth Curry	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	3	-4	17.0	12.2	4.82	15.4	14.6	0.76
Isaiah Joe	6	7	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-6	14	10.8	15.6	-4.81	19.4	14.8	4.63
Tobias Harris	63	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	2	-2	15.7	14.6	1.04	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Furkan Korkmaz	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	-2	6	13.8	16.3	-2.45	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Andre Drummond	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	5	-8	14.9	15.5	-0.58	15.7	14.9	0.79
Matisse Thybulle	41	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	14.1	16.3	-2.25	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Charlie Brown Jr.	6	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	8	-14	11.7	15.6	-3.92	13.6	15.2	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, VAN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.8%
DET 91, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,1	92.7%
NYK 95, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	92.6%