NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	8.6 [182]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +17.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	2.0 [794]		LVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): -26.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	72%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
RJ Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02	0.07	-0.06	0.03	16	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.03
Evan Fournier	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.13,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	17	45%	-0.10	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	10	15%	-0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	12	77%	0.27	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.10	-0.00	4	100%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.19	0.12	0.01	19	34%	0.10	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.18,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.17	0.04	12	48%	-0.15	4	-0.12	7	43%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.5	15.4	29.3	1.8	32.0	130.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.9%

NYK -5.7%

CLE +57.0%

NYK -40.2%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.5	97.9	100.0	110.8
season	15.1	15.2		109.4	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		108.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	15.4	13.3	14.8	14.7
CLE	13.8	15.2	13.9	20.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	26	27	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.20	20	-22	42	14.1	15.0	-0.86	18.7	14.3	4.42
Quentin Grimes	46	44	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.49	21	-23	44	14.9	14.6	0.34	17.9	13.5	4.38
Immanuel Quickley	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-14	26	15.3	14.2	1.07	18.0	13.3	4.61
Taj Gibson	37	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-1	0	15.7	14.1	1.54	16.5	15.0	1.48
Alec Burks	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	1	-4	15.7	14.1	1.59	16.6	15.0	1.62
Nerlens Noel	58	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-1	0	14.1	15.7	-1.54	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Kemba Walker	43	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	9	-20	14.3	15.1	-0.84	13.4	17.5	-4.04
Evan Fournier	45	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	12	-26	14.3	15.2	-0.89	13.4	17.7	-4.30
RJ Barrett	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	9	-20	14.3	15.8	-1.47	14.9	17.6	-2.74
Julius Randle	69	68	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.24	-22	20	-42	15.0	14.1	0.86	14.3	18.7	-4.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	67	68	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-16	34	14.1	19.1	-5.00	14.7	14.7	0.05
Darius Garland	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	-3	8	16.0	13.9	2.13	15.0	13.7	1.31
Dean Wade	67	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	3	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Rajon Rondo	36	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-2	6	14.9	16.0	-1.07	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Ed Davis	37	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-10	22	14.1	16.5	-2.36	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Kevin Love	48	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-5	12	15.5	15.7	-0.24	15.1	14.4	0.68
Evan Mobley	76	75	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	12	-22	15.9	14.3	1.64	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Cedi Osman	22	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Dylan Windler	19	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	10	-18	15.9	15.5	0.46	14.9	14.7	0.19
Lamar Stevens	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.30	-16	18	-34	19.1	14.1	5.00	14.7	14.7	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.64,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 75, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.84,1	90.5%
UTA 94, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.98,1	90.2%
MIL 99, CHA 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.85,1	90.1%