NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.4 [502]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +14.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.5 [759]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -25.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	72%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	13	54%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.07	-0.14	0.05	15	51%	-0.16	3	-0.10	9	44%	-0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	6	95%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	21	62%	0.13	3	-0.09	11	100%	0.04
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.02	15	68%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	22.0	13.8	28.3	1.7	33.3	124.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.7%

CLE +15.8%

CLE +5.5%

CLE +13.1%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.6	102.2	106.4	104.4
season	15.6	17.8		110.8	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.0		100.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.6	15.8	17.0	15.0	15.0
CLE	14.5	14.8	16.5	18.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	22	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.03	4	-10	14	16.9	14.4	2.48	20.7	14.5	6.19
Howard Eisley	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.10	3	-9	12	13.5	15.9	-2.46	13.3	17.5	-4.16
Adam Keefe	34	32	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-7	8	13.8	15.7	-1.83	13.4	17.3	-3.85
Antoine Carr	24	23	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	17.0	14.2	2.79	18.2	15.3	2.96
Greg Ostertag	23	25	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	16.7	14.4	2.29	19.0	14.9	4.17
Shandon Anderson	42	43	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-5	4	15.8	14.3	1.57	16.6	15.5	1.11
Karl Malone	72	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.3	17.3	-2.97	15.1	19.6	-4.51
Jeff Hornacek	73	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	14.2	18.1	-3.87	14.8	21.1	-6.35
John Stockton	57	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.21	-9	3	-12	15.9	13.5	2.46	17.5	13.3	4.16
Bryon Russell	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	1	-8	14.7	16.6	-1.88	15.7	17.3	-1.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	74	74	0.68	-0.19	0.87	0.12	19	-13	32	15.4	18.2	-2.82	15.6	12.4	3.15
Tyrone Hill	69	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.28	12	-6	18	16.5	14.6	1.93	15.2	14.4	0.86
Chris Mills	94	91	0.52	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	0	6	16.0	0.0	15.98	14.6	46.0	-31.36
Danny Ferry	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-2	10	15.6	17.0	-1.40	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Bobby Phills	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	7	-8	16.5	14.1	2.43	14.3	17.7	-3.41
Antonio Lang	26	27	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	17.5	15.4	2.10	16.4	14.4	2.08
Bob Sura	41	37	0.04	0.45	-0.42	0.22	-6	12	-18	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.1	14.9	0.26
Vitaly Potapenko	15	16	0.01	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.09	17.7	14.4	3.28
Mark West	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	13	-20	13.2	16.4	-3.22	11.8	15.4	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.95,1	93.8%
POR 75, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.84,1	93.2%
MIA 72, SAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.95,1,1	92.7%