NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	9.1 [121]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (MIL): +29.3%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	1.6 [490]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIL): -20.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29	0.13	0.18	0.01	7	93%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.05	0.02	10	90%	0.20	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	19	64%	0.25	7	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.04,-0.08,-0.18	-0.01	-0.18	-0.01	18	59%	0.21	6	-0.39	8	62%	-0.08
Pat Connaughton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	6	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	8	11%	-0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.06	0.03	17	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.06
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.10	-0.04	19	56%	0.30	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	12	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.01	19	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.05	7	21%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	10	24%	-0.08	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	28.2	14.8	28.0	0.2	40.0	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -5.7%

CHA +22.3%

MIL -10.3%

CHA +43.2%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	12.9	15.5	14.5	97.1	102.0	110.8
season	13.7	14.0		112.2	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	12.3	13.4	12.2	12.9
CHA	13.0	16.5	16.1	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	28	27	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.13	12	-16	28	12.0	13.3	-1.27	17.5	14.7	2.80
Jordan Nwora	62	62	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.51	20	-24	44	12.3	13.8	-1.53	16.3	14.2	2.09
Bobby Portis	72	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-15	26	12.6	13.7	-1.15	16.4	13.1	3.36
Wesley Matthews	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-12	20	13.3	12.4	0.88	16.6	13.7	2.92
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-10	16	13.2	12.2	1.02	16.2	13.6	2.64
Sandro Mamukelashvili	25	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	10	-24	13.4	12.8	0.69	12.9	16.3	-3.44
Langston Galloway	26	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	11	-26	13.4	12.8	0.62	13.0	16.3	-3.33
Donte DiVincenzo	35	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	18	-40	14.0	12.3	1.69	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Pat Connaughton	51	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	11	-26	12.7	13.1	-0.35	13.8	17.1	-3.22
Khris Middleton	79	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	7	-18	12.8	13.4	-0.61	14.9	17.4	-2.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	87	88	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-11	26	14.9	18.9	-4.02	13.1	12.0	1.07
Terry Rozier	85	85	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-11	26	15.0	18.1	-3.16	12.8	13.6	-0.87
P.J. Washington	56	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	14.4	16.8	-2.33	13.0	12.8	0.27
Cody Martin	56	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-4	12	15.5	15.5	-0.00	13.5	12.1	1.43
Gordon Hayward	78	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	15.0	17.1	-2.16	12.6	14.2	-1.62
LaMelo Ball	75	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	16.1	13.7	2.34	12.6	13.9	-1.27
Mason Plumlee	46	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	13	-22	17.2	14.0	3.18	13.6	12.4	1.14
Jalen McDaniels	22	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.14	-14	18	-32	18.3	14.7	3.65	12.1	13.1	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.84,1	91.7%
NJN 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	91.6%
DET 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.72,1	91.2%