NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	102		Excitement	7.5 [358]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +27.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	48.8 [7]		LVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): -13.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	9	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.02	10	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.19
Eric Bledsoe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.13,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.11	-0.00	25	67%	0.48	5	-0.21	10	70%	0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	0.00	17	51%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.08
Isaiah Joe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	7	36%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.20	-0.02	18	50%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	24.9	14.7	27.8	1.7	38.3	130.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +62.6%

PHI -18.5%

LAC +7.3%

PHI -1.3%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	16.7	14.5	109.7	108.6	110.8
season	14.6	15.2		108.8	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	16.8	13.0	14.3	14.2
PHI	17.0	15.1	15.8	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	56	56	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-9	19	14.1	14.5	-0.40	17.2	15.9	1.29
Marcus Morris Sr.	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.56	3	-2	5	14.1	14.5	-0.38	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Nicolas Batum	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.56	3	-2	5	14.1	14.5	-0.38	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Amir Coffey	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-5	11	14.0	14.9	-0.87	16.5	17.2	-0.65
Ivica Zubac	44	44	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	1	-1	14.2	14.3	-0.08	17.9	15.7	2.17
Serge Ibaka	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	14.0	14.3	-0.28	14.9	17.0	-2.05
Brandon Boston Jr.	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	4	-7	15.0	14.0	1.04	17.5	16.4	1.12
Terance Mann	36	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	5	-9	14.2	14.2	0.00	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Luke Kennard	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.3	-0.21	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Isaiah Hartenstein	30	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.14	0	1	-1	15.0	13.9	1.11	16.5	16.8	-0.28
Eric Bledsoe	37	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	10	-19	14.5	14.1	0.40	15.9	17.2	-1.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Brown Jr.	42	45	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.19	20	-21	41	16.2	17.1	-0.92	14.7	13.9	0.81
Andre Drummond	22	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-6	11	16.5	16.8	-0.35	14.7	14.1	0.57
Furkan Korkmaz	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.55	13	-14	27	16.5	17.7	-1.17	14.7	12.4	2.36
Isaiah Joe	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.22	-15	14	-29	15.9	17.1	-1.18	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Tyrese Maxey	89	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.49	-1	0	-1	16.8	15.0	1.80	14.4	11.3	3.11
Joel Embiid	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	16.8	16.5	0.35	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Tobias Harris	78	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	6	-13	17.0	15.1	1.97	13.8	16.6	-2.82
Georges Niang	57	57	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.46	-14	13	-27	17.3	15.9	1.40	14.2	14.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	88.8%
OKC 112, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.55,0.54,0.76,0.42,0	88.2%
MIA 109, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.43,0.72,0	88.2%