inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 107 Excitement8.4 [219] MVPDarius Garland (CLE): +28.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Comeback21.4 [156] LVPJarrett Allen (CLE): -15.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Garland0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.280.090.200.012061%0.352-0.074100%0.13
Evan Mobley0.270,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.270.060.20-0.011461%0.352-0.08580%0.01
Lauri Markkanen0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.130.050.090.011055%0.1300.002100%0.01
Dylan Windler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.00560%0.0700.0000%0.00
Lamar Stevens0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaac Okoro0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00544%0.0100.00683%-0.00
Kevin Love-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.050.001159%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Cedi Osman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jarrett Allen-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.02-0.130.00950%-0.062-0.09837%-0.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.20.200.100.110.024112%0.2000.0000%0.00
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.00683%0.1100.0000%0.00
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.03-0.00971%0.172-0.126100%0.05
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,00.00-0.050.02-0.03869%0.186-0.1800%0.00
Mamadi Diakite0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01736%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.01725%-0.0800.002100%0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.08-0.031945%-0.023-0.07978%0.01
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.11-0.110.04-0.17-0.021452%-0.101-0.015100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game41.22.022.714.028.62.330.7141.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +59.3%
OKC -14.1%
OKC -1.4%
CLE +6.4%
OKC -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEOKCNBACLEOKCNBA
this game15.114.914.5111.5106.2110.8
season15.214.4110.6103.2
opponent14.414.4111.2108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.115.313.815.115.1
OKC14.514.716.214.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaac Okoro49530.74-0.240.980.3912-71914.216.0-1.8014.016.0-2.00
Dylan Windler32330.61-0.110.730.0619-143314.015.6-1.6315.814.51.28
Darius Garland75750.470.030.440.209-41314.616.9-2.2714.516.6-2.12
Evan Mobley67670.360.140.220.3314-315.015.4-0.4214.915.0-0.07
Kevin Love42430.300.200.100.049-41315.215.00.2815.114.80.36
Jarrett Allen67660.260.240.020.2314-315.015.2-0.1814.615.6-0.95
Lauri Markkanen64620.250.250.010.2505-515.214.90.2214.915.0-0.13
Brandon Goodwin21210.030.47-0.440.15-49-1316.914.62.2716.614.52.12
Cedi Osman2525-0.250.75-1.010.04-1015-2517.014.42.6514.515.1-0.54
Lamar Stevens3835-0.280.78-1.050.07-1217-2915.914.61.3016.214.22.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Jerome36360.03-0.530.57-0.084-91314.914.9-0.0915.314.90.40
Derrick Favors3434-0.02-0.480.470.16-61-714.914.90.0414.115.6-1.54
Mamadi Diakite2425-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-91314.415.1-0.7216.614.52.05
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl5254-0.12-0.380.27-0.141-6715.714.01.7314.915.3-0.32
Luguentz Dort5960-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-7914.715.3-0.6215.115.00.18
Aaron Wiggins2221-0.16-0.340.180.01-61-713.915.2-1.3114.415.3-0.90
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6969-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-3115.014.60.4014.716.0-1.28
Mike Muscala1817-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-61-714.115.1-0.9913.215.5-2.25
Tre Mann5048-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-61-715.414.31.0915.414.80.62
Darius Bazley5755-0.570.07-0.64-0.42-50-514.715.2-0.4915.614.41.25
Josh Giddey5961-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-50-514.914.90.0415.414.60.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 104, SEA 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.54,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.15,0.09,0.16,091.5%
ORL 115, BKN 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.09,091.5%
OKC 108, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.15,090.7%