NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	7.9 [284]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +61.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	7.0 [97]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -36.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.61	0.26	0.35	-0.00	13	82%	0.63	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.10
Channing Frye	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	8	82%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Jackie Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome James	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.10	5	-0.16	10	80%	0.06
Malik Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	2	50%	-0.06	3	-0.09	8	25%	-0.16

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.32,0.45	0.45	0.20	0.24	-0.00	11	82%	0.45	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	13	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	85%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	67%	0.11	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.22,-0.17,-0.37	-0.37	-0.10	-0.28	-0.01	28	42%	-0.15	4	-0.22	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	33.4	15.7	27.6	1.0	44.2	152.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.2%

NYK +15.9%

NYK +9.3%

NYK +11.5%

SEA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SEA	NBA	NYK	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	13.6	15.6	111.8	107.4	104.4
season	15.7	15.0		102.1	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		112.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	19.6	14.7	19.6	15.5	17.2
SEA	11.7	14.7	15.6	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	62	64	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-7	17	16.7	18.2	-1.52	14.6	11.6	2.99
Channing Frye	60	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-3	9	15.7	19.9	-4.18	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Jackie Butler	20	20	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	-10	23	17.7	17.0	0.72	15.7	13.1	2.62
Trevor Ariza	22	23	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-7	17	15.8	17.6	-1.85	14.0	13.5	0.54
Anfernee Hardaway	55	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-4	11	15.6	19.4	-3.78	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Stephon Marbury	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.38	-6	9	-15	17.4	16.6	0.78	13.7	13.4	0.30
Nate Robinson	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	2	-1	17.6	16.8	0.80	12.4	14.8	-2.33
Eddy Curry	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	6	-9	16.4	17.6	-1.18	14.1	13.4	0.70
Antonio Davis	36	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	11	-19	18.2	16.5	1.70	13.0	14.0	-0.97
Maurice Taylor	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	19.0	17.2	1.84	11.0	13.7	-2.67
Jerome James	29	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	19.8	16.0	3.74	12.7	14.1	-1.42
Malik Rose	30	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	12	-21	20.7	15.5	5.14	13.2	13.8	-0.67

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	34	33	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.05	11	-14	25	12.0	14.5	-2.52	17.2	17.2	0.05
Nick Collison	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	15.6	13.0	2.61	21.1	15.8	5.31
Robert Swift	17	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	0	-3	16.3	13.1	3.24	20.1	16.6	3.52
Vitaly Potapenko	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-1	-1	20.7	13.2	7.51	14.0	17.4	-3.40
Damien Wilkins	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	17.7	12.9	4.79	14.4	17.7	-3.24
Ray Allen	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	14.0	11.7	2.26	17.4	15.9	1.46
Luke Ridnour	78	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-3	3	12.7	18.2	-5.48	17.7	14.6	3.10
Ronald Murray	27	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	7	-17	15.1	13.0	2.12	15.4	18.0	-2.56
Rashard Lewis	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	13.0	18.2	-5.29	17.5	14.7	2.79
Reggie Evans	44	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	0	-3	12.4	14.7	-2.31	17.2	17.2	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	7	-17	13.3	14.4	-1.17	15.3	21.2	-5.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.54,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.15,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	92.0%
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.0%
TOR 108, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	91.7%