NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	8.4 [225]		MVP	Trey Lyles (DET): +16.9%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.6 [722]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -22.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	17	70%	0.26	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Terrence Ross	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	10	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.10
Moritz Wagner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Freddie Gillespie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
R.J. Hampton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	8	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.01	18	43%	-0.20	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	10	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	17	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	4	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	14	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	28.2	14.4	27.6	2.4	34.9	137.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +65.5%

ORL -21.7%

DET +2.3%

DET +0.5%

DET +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.5	95.8	101.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		103.4	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.6	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	15.8	15.2	16.2	15.4
DET	13.1	14.9	14.2	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Freddie Gillespie	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	14.2	15.9	-1.73	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Mo Bamba	56	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	16.2	14.3	1.83	15.6	13.1	2.54
Gary Harris	68	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-12	19	15.5	15.1	0.44	14.6	14.5	0.17
Admiral Schofield	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	17.5	15.2	2.27	9.6	15.0	-5.41
Cole Anthony	71	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-10	15	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.6	11.9	3.65
Moritz Wagner	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.7	15.3	0.33	12.5	15.4	-2.87
Tim Frazier	20	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	4	-13	15.9	15.3	0.61	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Terrence Ross	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-6	7	15.2	15.7	-0.47	15.2	13.6	1.59
Chuma Okeke	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.64	14.3	15.0	-0.70
R.J. Hampton	33	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	8	-21	15.0	15.6	-0.59	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Franz Wagner	55	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	3	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.21	15.1	13.9	1.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	49	47	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	14.8	14.3	0.52	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Hamidou Diallo	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-1	7	14.5	14.7	-0.20	16.0	14.6	1.35
Rodney McGruder	24	22	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-1	7	15.8	14.2	1.61	16.6	15.1	1.52
Trey Lyles	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	4	-3	15.0	14.0	0.96	15.6	15.2	0.43
Cade Cunningham	61	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	4	-3	15.1	13.6	1.50	15.6	15.0	0.59
Isaiah Stewart	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	1	3	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Josh Jackson	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	14.4	14.7	-0.36	15.4	15.4	-0.09
Saddiq Bey	72	74	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	6	-7	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Saben Lee	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	14.0	15.0	-0.99	15.4	15.4	-0.09
Killian Hayes	47	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.2	15.6	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	93.5%
DAL 83, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.85,1	92.6%
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	92.2%