NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	120		Excitement	8.3 [228]		MVP	Justise Winslow (LAC): +27.8%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	49.0 [4]		LVP	James Johnson (BKN): -13.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.28,0.28	0.05	0.21	-0.01	7	61%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Terance Mann	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24	0.10	0.18	0.05	12	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Amir Coffey	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.13	0.02	9	70%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	12	82%	0.26	4	-0.11	9	78%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wenyen Gabriel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.02	15	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Moon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	10	85%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	22	58%	0.24	4	-0.11	15	87%	-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	7	41%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	24	53%	0.15	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.04
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	13	38%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	5	50%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.6	15.3	25.7	2.4	47.5	145.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.7%

LAC +0.9%

BKN -10.7%

LAC +14.2%

BKN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BKN	NBA	LAC	BKN	NBA
this game	12.8	14.5	14.5	113.2	110.5	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		108.8	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.7	12.9	13.4	11.2	12.8
BKN	13.5	16.5	13.3	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	66	65	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-12	28	13.2	12.1	1.11	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Reggie Jackson	73	73	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-9	22	13.0	12.4	0.62	14.6	14.3	0.29
Amir Coffey	70	70	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-5	14	13.4	11.6	1.75	14.1	15.3	-1.11
Justise Winslow	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.52	3	1	2	11.8	14.0	-2.21	15.0	13.9	1.14
Terance Mann	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-1	6	13.3	11.6	1.72	14.0	15.8	-1.88
Serge Ibaka	49	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.14	1	3	-2	14.0	11.8	2.21	13.9	15.0	-1.14
James Ennis III	36	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	12.1	13.1	-0.99	15.4	14.1	1.29
Wenyen Gabriel	33	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.10	-3	7	-10	11.1	13.6	-2.51	15.7	14.0	1.70
Keon Johnson	33	32	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.05	-9	13	-22	12.4	13.0	-0.62	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Xavier Moon	40	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	16	-28	12.1	13.2	-1.11	15.4	13.9	1.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	72	76	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.14	5	-9	14	14.5	14.5	0.04	12.5	13.6	-1.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	46	46	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-5	6	13.3	15.5	-2.19	14.0	11.8	2.21
Blake Griffin	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	12.7	14.8	-2.16	13.9	12.6	1.25
Bruce Brown	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	2	-8	13.4	15.5	-2.07	13.8	12.0	1.79
Nic Claxton	50	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-3	2	15.4	13.7	1.69	12.0	13.5	-1.55
James Johnson	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-6	8	15.2	13.6	1.56	12.6	13.1	-0.55
DeAndre' Bembry	59	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	15.5	13.3	2.19	11.8	14.0	-2.21
James Harden	88	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	5	-14	15.1	11.3	3.84	12.7	13.4	-0.72
Kevin Durant	85	86	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	3	-10	13.8	17.3	-3.50	13.1	11.4	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.42,0	93.3%
IND 103, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.57,0.58,0	92.6%
DEN 94, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	91.6%