NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	6.8 [474]		MVP	Garrett Temple (NOP): +36.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	108		Comeback	29.7 [44]		LVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): -17.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.17	0.06	0.03	14	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18	0.17	0.01	-0.01	12	81%	0.18	1	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Lauri Markkanen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Pangos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	25	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dean Wade	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	6	37%	-0.02	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.25	0.01	7	106%	0.43	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.07	0.02	18	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jared Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.5	14.7	29.2	2.6	31.8	131.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.9%

NOP +5.8%

NOP +7.3%

CLE -3.3%

NOP +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOP	NBA	CLE	NOP	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	14.5	109.5	113.7	110.8
season	15.2	14.7		110.6	110.9
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	14.9	15.3	18.6	16.0
NOP	15.2	12.8	16.7	12.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	60	60	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-8	12	16.5	15.2	1.36	14.9	13.2	1.76
Justin Anderson	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	14.1	16.9	-2.78	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Ricky Rubio	71	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-6	8	16.6	14.4	2.22	15.0	11.8	3.21
Kevin Pangos	18	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.8	16.1	-0.31	12.4	14.7	-2.22
Kevin Love	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.5	17.1	-1.61	14.3	14.2	0.18
Denzel Valentine	50	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	0	-4	15.0	17.2	-2.22	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Dean Wade	64	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-2	0	16.5	15.2	1.29	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Isaac Okoro	60	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	1	-6	16.4	15.4	1.05	14.3	14.2	0.09
Evan Mobley	58	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	4	-12	16.5	15.3	1.16	13.9	14.8	-0.86

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	48	50	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.26	22	-18	40	13.3	15.3	-2.05	16.6	15.4	1.24
Jonas Valanciunas	59	58	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-9	22	13.9	14.9	-0.93	16.9	14.7	2.18
Herbert Jones	73	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.58	0	4	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.35	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Devonte' Graham	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	1	2	14.3	14.3	-0.02	16.2	15.7	0.44
Garrett Temple	74	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.59	-1	5	-6	13.9	15.8	-1.90	16.2	15.5	0.66
Jared Harper	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	3	-2	15.1	14.1	1.01	16.9	15.9	0.99
Tomas Satoransky	34	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	1	2	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Willy Hernangomez	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	12	-20	15.6	14.1	1.49	13.7	16.4	-2.61
Trey Murphy III	39	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	10	-16	15.4	13.5	1.95	15.1	16.7	-1.53
Gary Clark	57	58	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.14	-7	11	-18	14.8	13.4	1.39	15.7	16.6	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.38,0.69,0.78,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.95,1,1	90.8%
BOS 93, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	90.8%
LAC 96, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1	90.6%