inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 93 Excitement5.3 [778] MVPSasha Pavlovic (CLE): +13.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 94 Comeback115.3 [41] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -45.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.090.040.060.02482%0.122-0.033100%0.04
Gerald Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.013100%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.03767%0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Delonte West0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.031155%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Michael Olowokandi0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02125%-0.002-0.03250%-0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.05-0.021244%-0.033-0.051100%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.13-0.021638%-0.1400.00771%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.450,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.45-0.11-0.290.052140%-0.423-0.04683%-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.130.130.060.080.001064%0.141-0.012100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.09,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.120.120.190.080.151767%0.242-0.122383%0.02
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.01645%0.0100.00837%-0.05
Eric Snow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02743%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04-0.04-0.080.060.021332%0.011-0.05250%-0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.050.02-0.020.04650%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01833%-0.041-0.012100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.0230%-0.051-0.0220%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.430.515.630.22.446.2149.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +50.0%
CLE +2.9%
BOS -9.5%
CLE +3.7%
CLE +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCLENBABOSCLENBA
this game15.614.815.497.9100.0104.5
season15.516.0101.7103.2
opponent15.615.399.6105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.412.619.516.515.6
CLE17.616.313.212.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Olowokandi34340.14-0.640.780.23-32-515.915.50.3715.014.70.22
Brian Scalabrine28260.05-0.550.60-0.198-91714.716.0-1.2614.614.9-0.30
Gerald Green25250.04-0.540.580.040-1115.315.8-0.4914.714.9-0.20
Rajon Rondo2626-0.04-0.460.410.22-98-1715.715.60.1214.015.1-1.15
Ryan Gomes5455-0.19-0.310.11-0.252-3516.714.22.5514.615.1-0.51
Tony Allen3433-0.24-0.260.03-0.18-21-312.317.5-5.1715.714.41.34
Paul Pierce7473-0.520.02-0.53-0.520-1115.615.7-0.0914.715.1-0.40
Sebastian Telfair6968-0.540.04-0.59-0.726-71315.615.7-0.1215.114.01.15
Kendrick Perkins5454-0.590.09-0.68-0.50-32-516.514.52.0714.914.70.14
Delonte West7776-0.610.11-0.71-0.49-43-716.113.82.2314.715.3-0.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic56560.88-0.381.260.2621-204113.616.6-3.0215.416.0-0.61
Anderson Varejao56560.80-0.301.090.2419-183713.716.5-2.8517.513.04.53
Damon Jones53520.76-0.261.020.3813-122513.816.2-2.3816.514.71.81
LeBron James85860.62-0.120.740.456-51114.617.4-2.8916.012.73.29
Larry Hughes84860.50-0.000.510.53-12-314.814.9-0.0815.319.1-3.83
Donyell Marshall39410.020.48-0.46-0.187-61315.314.50.7315.715.60.07
Eric Snow2728-0.280.78-1.050.19-1617-3317.313.83.4615.615.7-0.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas3939-0.360.86-1.230.16-1819-3716.413.72.6613.916.8-2.92
Drew Gooden3030-0.450.95-1.400.31-2627-5317.613.54.0714.116.4-2.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.63,0.85,0.92,192.9%
CHA 100, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.82,191.4%
LAC 118, WAS 1250.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.99,190.3%