NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	8.5 [201]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +52.5%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	2.3 [436]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): -23.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.53	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.52	0.24	0.32	0.04	16	78%	0.59	2	-0.07	14	86%	0.03
Georges Niang	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.14	-0.00	10	95%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matisse Thybulle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	37%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.10	4	-0.14	14	93%	0.14
Tyrese Maxey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	11	23%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.26	0.16	-0.01	14	87%	0.43	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	69%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	21	58%	0.23	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Oturu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	12	25%	-0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	24	36%	-0.10	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	28.4	14.5	34.2	1.8	37.0	142.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.5%

PHI +25.6%

TOR -1.4%

PHI +3.2%

PHI +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	14.5	122.6	113.5	110.8
season	15.2	14.9		112.4	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.6		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	14.2	14.8	14.9	14.6
TOR	15.4	17.0	14.6	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	44	46	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-7	19	13.8	15.4	-1.62	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Paul Reed	28	29	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-5	15	13.1	15.3	-2.12	16.9	15.4	1.47
Tobias Harris	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.7	14.3	0.45	15.9	15.8	0.09
Seth Curry	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	1	3	14.7	14.3	0.41	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Furkan Korkmaz	31	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	0	5	13.5	15.2	-1.66	16.7	15.4	1.27
Matisse Thybulle	70	75	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	9	-13	15.2	12.8	2.39	16.0	15.2	0.76
Tyler Johnson	21	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	4	-3	14.4	14.7	-0.31	15.3	16.0	-0.64
Joel Embiid	65	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	10	-15	15.3	13.1	2.12	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Tyrese Maxey	71	71	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	14.9	13.7	1.17	15.9	15.8	0.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Wilson	24	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.34	12	-17	29	14.5	16.3	-1.78	16.2	14.0	2.12
Tremont Waters	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-5	5	14.1	16.1	-2.06	15.0	14.6	0.44
Malachi Flynn	66	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	15.8	16.0	-0.24	14.8	14.2	0.56
Daniel Oturu	13	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	2	-9	15.5	15.9	-0.43	13.3	14.8	-1.48
Svi Mykhailiuk	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.7	16.1	-0.40	15.0	14.1	0.93
Pascal Siakam	84	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-7	9	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.9	13.0	1.91
Chris Boucher	76	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.2	2.00	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Yuta Watanabe	62	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	14	-33	16.6	14.5	2.11	14.1	15.6	-1.57
Gary Trent Jr.	82	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	5	-15	16.0	15.1	0.89	14.2	17.6	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.25,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 117, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.34,0.58,0	92.3%
UTA 94, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.58,0	91.8%
PHX 101, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.15,0.58,0	91.8%