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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 102 Excitement6.4 [559] MVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks 114 Comeback1.5 [635] LVPD'Angelo Russell (MIN): -8.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.00692%0.171-0.0600%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.01858%0.0700.003100%0.01
Malik Beasley0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.04-0.001573%0.184-0.1300%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns0.000,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,00.12-0.070.041479%0.155-0.155100%0.03
Nathan Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.03
Jaylen Nowell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.010.01847%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Jake Layman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00343%0.001-0.031100%0.00
Leandro Bolmaro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.040.00436%-0.031-0.04367%-0.00
D'Angelo Russell-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.02-0.061834%-0.053-0.035100%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.030.11-0.041559%0.243-0.062100%0.02
Sterling Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.030.01875%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.02775%0.111-0.036100%0.03
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.14-0.010.041864%0.132-0.05862%-0.04
Marquese Chriss0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.01560%0.0800.0000%0.00
Moses Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.00853%0.031-0.02367%-0.00
JaQuori McLaughlin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00940%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Frank Ntilikina0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03736%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Theo Pinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00744%0.001-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.527.513.828.42.435.2136.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +23.8%
MIN -1.9%
DAL +4.0%
DAL +22.3%
DAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game14.216.114.5108.5118.8110.8
season13.915.6112.6112.4
opponent14.514.4109.2110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.613.116.513.014.2
DAL15.416.215.617.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nathan Knight27260.18-0.680.87-0.058-202813.814.4-0.6016.715.80.93
Naz Reid33350.12-0.620.730.062-141614.214.3-0.1416.415.90.50
Jordan McLaughlin3437-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-131413.614.6-0.9415.816.2-0.44
Jaylen Nowell4951-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-9613.515.0-1.4915.416.8-1.41
Leandro Bolmaro2422-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-5-215.113.91.1815.616.2-0.54
Jake Layman1819-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-4-414.314.20.0413.116.8-3.74
Jaden McDaniels7676-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.11-7-5-214.214.3-0.0417.012.44.55
D'Angelo Russell6973-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.10-120-1213.416.4-2.9916.714.02.64
Karl-Anthony Towns7374-0.720.22-0.93-0.28-153-1814.812.42.4015.817.0-1.29
Malik Beasley6767-0.800.30-1.10-0.24-197-2615.211.93.3615.816.6-0.77

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith79790.71-0.210.920.0722-103216.215.40.7814.512.71.88
Sterling Brown65630.67-0.170.830.1119-72617.014.02.9814.014.8-0.89
Frank Ntilikina69650.58-0.080.660.261111014.819.1-4.3114.414.00.35
Marquese Chriss35330.52-0.020.530.22102814.017.2-3.2314.714.00.74
Jalen Brunson78770.310.190.130.0593616.812.74.1014.114.9-0.78
Dwight Powell42410.040.46-0.43-0.02210-816.915.41.5614.014.4-0.43
Moses Brown340.020.48-0.46-0.01111-1016.016.1-0.0522.513.98.62
JaQuori McLaughlin76-0.030.53-0.550.03-214-1611.916.4-4.5211.714.4-2.75
Boban Marjanovic1616-0.070.57-0.65-0.04-113-1418.215.62.6411.814.7-2.93
Trey Burke4142-0.080.58-0.660.01-315-1816.915.51.4014.713.90.85
Theo Pinson4544-0.170.67-0.830.07-820-2814.917.1-2.2314.114.4-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.66,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 118, SAS 1250.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.66,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,192.6%
UTA 92, POR 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,192.0%
LAL 91, LAC 1020.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,191.8%