NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	118		Excitement	6.2 [573]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +26.9%
San Antonio Spurs	125		Comeback	1.8 [544]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -12.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	82%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	6	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.03	13	66%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	4	82%	0.07	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.06	17	61%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	20	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.08	0.00	11	77%	0.27	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	18	65%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	5	92%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	11	73%	0.17	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	30.9	14.8	25.3	2.5	37.6	137.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +71.3%

LAC -11.7%

LAC -14.0%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	16.0	15.1	122.9	131.6	104.2
season	14.6	15.4		110.5	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	15.5	12.8	13.8	14.1
SAS	15.4	15.8	18.0	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	23	22	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.10	3	-10	13	13.9	14.2	-0.29	17.0	15.7	1.26
Jordan Farmar	29	28	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-10	13	14.1	14.1	0.00	16.3	15.9	0.41
Hedo Turkoglu	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-9	11	16.2	13.6	2.59	17.1	15.8	1.28
Reggie Bullock	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-8	9	15.9	13.7	2.19	17.3	15.7	1.67
Matt Barnes	50	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-12	17	12.9	15.5	-2.62	16.0	16.1	-0.11
JJ Redick	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	13.8	15.0	-1.11	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Blake Griffin	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	2	-11	13.6	16.2	-2.59	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Jamal Crawford	56	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	5	-17	14.3	13.9	0.32	15.4	16.9	-1.59
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	2	-11	14.8	12.4	2.46	16.1	15.7	0.42
Chris Paul	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.1	-0.00	15.9	16.3	-0.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	37	40	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.09	24	-17	41	13.6	17.6	-3.95	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Manu Ginobili	56	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	14.7	17.9	-3.25	13.7	14.8	-1.15
Tim Duncan	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-3	13	16.1	15.7	0.41	14.3	13.6	0.76
Tiago Splitter	35	34	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	5	-3	16.9	15.5	1.31	15.3	13.5	1.84
Danny Green	59	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	7	-7	16.2	15.8	0.41	14.5	13.6	0.88
Boris Diaw	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-1	9	15.5	16.6	-1.04	14.2	14.1	0.12
Marco Belinelli	54	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	16.4	15.5	0.87	14.8	13.2	1.56
Austin Daye	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	0.0	16.0	-16.03	2.0	14.3	-12.26
Aron Baynes	18	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	14.6	16.4	-1.75	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Kyle Anderson	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	17.7	15.6	2.11	12.9	14.4	-1.50
Jeff Ayres	6	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	10	-13	20.2	15.8	4.41	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Matt Bonner	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	10	-13	20.2	15.8	4.41	11.4	14.3	-2.92
Tony Parker	65	63	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.19	-14	21	-35	17.0	13.9	3.16	14.7	13.2	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.66,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.8%
BOS 83, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.97,1,1	92.8%
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%