NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	5.6 [709]		MVP	David West (IND): +21.8%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.4 [1215]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -18.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	17	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Babb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	16	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	9	15%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	15	27%	-0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.06	0.03	13	83%	0.22	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	73%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	12	37%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	34.2	16.5	25.4	2.4	26.8	131.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +68.6%

BOS -0.2%

BOS -9.6%

BOS -5.6%

BOS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.1	95.4	109.3	105.2
season	15.4	15.8		101.2	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.2	13.2	17.8	17.3	16.2
IND	17.0	16.3	17.3	17.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	39	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-16	21	15.4	16.9	-1.44	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Joel Anthony	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	0.0	16.2	-16.21	11.0	17.2	-6.16
Chris Babb	15	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-8	5	17.0	16.0	0.96	18.6	16.7	1.94
Phil Pressey	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-8	5	12.8	17.0	-4.16	16.3	17.3	-0.92
Jerryd Bayless	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-6	1	16.9	15.6	1.34	17.4	16.9	0.49
Chris Johnson	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-12	13	15.4	17.5	-2.09	17.0	17.3	-0.32
Kris Humphries	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	16.3	16.1	0.28	17.1	17.1	0.07
Jared Sullinger	46	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	16.5	15.9	0.53	17.5	16.6	0.93
Brandon Bass	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.5	15.9	0.62	17.3	16.9	0.38
Rajon Rondo	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	17.0	12.8	4.16	17.3	16.3	0.92
Jeff Green	68	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	4	-19	16.2	16.1	0.20	16.6	18.6	-1.96

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	64	64	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.20	19	-8	27	16.8	18.0	-1.28	16.6	15.2	1.40
Roy Hibbert	56	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-3	17	17.3	16.7	0.60	16.8	15.1	1.66
David West	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-2	15	17.3	16.5	0.86	17.1	14.4	2.62
George Hill	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	0	11	17.1	17.0	0.13	16.5	15.4	1.13
Paul George	51	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	4	3	17.1	17.1	0.01	17.5	14.2	3.31
Chris Copeland	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	11	-11	0.0	17.1	-17.09	3.0	16.4	-13.36
Evan Turner	42	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	14	-17	17.3	16.9	0.42	15.0	17.3	-2.37
Donald Sloan	23	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	11	-11	17.0	17.1	-0.13	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Rasual Butler	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	12	-13	17.9	16.9	0.94	13.5	16.8	-3.23
Luis Scola	25	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	13	-15	16.5	17.3	-0.86	14.4	17.1	-2.62
Andrew Bynum	30	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	14	-17	16.7	17.3	-0.60	15.5	16.5	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	94.2%
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%
ATL 91, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%