NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	11.6 [24]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (NOP): +78.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	2.4 [531]		LVP	Josh Hart (NOP): -33.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.02	36	53%	0.34	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	-0.00	17	69%	0.29	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Javonte Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.79	0.79	0.26	0.53	-0.00	12	100%	0.82	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	15	73%	0.36	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.03
Herbert Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	9	65%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	54%	0.21	3	-0.20	9	78%	0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	17	35%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.08	-0.26	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	3	-0.28	6	17%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.3	2.8	21.2	14.6	27.0	1.8	29.0	2.6	14.5	141.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +65.1%

NOP +12.4%

NOP +0.7%

MIL -41.3%

NOP +13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOP	NBA	MIL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	14.5	104.7	105.5	110.8
season	13.7	14.7		112.2	110.9
opponent	14.6	14.8		112.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.9	16.9	13.7	16.1	17.9	15.3
NOP	14.9	13.8	12.0	14.5	17.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Smart	31	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-13	22	15.0	15.4	-0.47	14.8	13.7	1.15
Rodney Hood	39	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-6	8	13.6	16.2	-2.61	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Jordan Nwora	86	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-4	4	15.3	15.1	0.19	14.3	13.1	1.21
George Hill	56	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-10	16	15.2	15.5	-0.29	14.8	13.1	1.70
Jrue Holiday	90	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	15.2	16.0	-0.83	14.1	13.8	0.22
Sandro Mamukelashvili	36	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	5	-14	16.0	15.0	1.01	14.5	13.8	0.73
DeMarcus Cousins	33	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	6	-16	16.0	15.0	0.97	12.3	14.8	-2.47
Pat Connaughton	83	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.4	1.14	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Grayson Allen	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.4	1.21	13.7	15.0	-1.35

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	68	67	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.43	17	-13	30	13.6	14.8	-1.19	15.6	14.8	0.72
Josh Hart	85	86	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.33	20	-16	36	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.9	12.9	3.04
Jonas Valanciunas	79	80	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.28	20	-16	36	14.2	13.5	0.71	16.3	12.3	4.02
Devonte' Graham	73	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-12	28	13.6	14.9	-1.34	15.9	14.1	1.77
Brandon Ingram	90	87	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	6	-8	13.9	14.4	-0.52	14.9	17.0	-2.15
Trey Murphy III	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	14.2	14.0	0.24	16.5	15.2	1.30
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	61	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	14	-24	15.0	12.8	2.15	15.3	15.2	0.09
Tomas Satoransky	28	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	15	-26	13.7	14.1	-0.37	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Willy Hernangomez	25	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.11	-13	17	-30	13.6	14.1	-0.50	12.4	16.1	-3.70
Garrett Temple	33	28	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.02	-18	22	-40	14.6	13.8	0.87	13.4	16.0	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.31,0.72,0.9,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,1	89.3%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.3%
DAL 99, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.8,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.96,1	89.1%