NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	11.6 [25]		MVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): +46.4%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	32.0 [60]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): -14.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.46	0.16	0.30	0.01	6	125%	0.50	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.01	0.31	-0.02	9	50%	0.37	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,0.19	-0.00	0.20	0.01	18	52%	0.30	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	19	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.04	0.00	18	49%	0.09	6	-0.15	5	80%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.46	0.46	0.07	0.38	-0.01	6	75%	0.46	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	19	50%	0.29	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	-0.09	0.01	18	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	23	44%	0.05	5	-0.20	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	3.4	31.5	15.4	30.4	3.3	24.3	2.5	14.4	154.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.2%

LAL +5.3%

DAL -19.3%

LAL +11.6%

DAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.5	102.9	96.3	110.8
season	14.3	15.6		109.5	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.2		109.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.0	16.0	12.2	17.6	16.2	14.7
DAL	15.7	12.8	15.5	17.5	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	76	79	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.34	21	-18	39	14.2	15.7	-1.50	16.3	12.7	3.61
Wayne Ellington	70	73	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.59	10	-7	17	16.0	12.0	3.99	16.2	13.6	2.61
Austin Reaves	61	66	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-7	17	14.2	15.3	-1.18	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Russell Westbrook	85	86	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-5	13	14.4	15.9	-1.58	15.6	14.1	1.50
LeBron James	81	85	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.48	-6	9	-15	15.7	10.9	4.80	15.5	14.6	0.92
Avery Bradley	45	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	-6	15	14.3	14.9	-0.68	16.9	14.1	2.72
DeAndre Jordan	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	5	-7	14.0	14.8	-0.77	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Carmelo Anthony	50	52	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.05	-16	19	-35	13.8	15.4	-1.61	13.6	16.9	-3.35
Kent Bazemore	36	35	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	0.03	-19	22	-41	14.0	15.0	-0.96	11.6	17.1	-5.48

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	26	26	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.01	9	-12	21	11.6	16.5	-4.95	12.2	15.5	-3.33
Trey Burke	48	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-11	19	14.4	16.1	-1.69	14.2	15.0	-0.88
Frank Ntilikina	5	6	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-4	5	13.2	15.4	-2.24	10.2	14.9	-4.76
Moses Brown	9	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	1	-5	16.3	15.2	1.09	9.9	15.0	-5.14
Kristaps Porzingis	75	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-5	7	15.9	14.2	1.70	16.0	11.3	4.71
Dwight Powell	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	8	-19	17.8	14.5	3.31	13.7	15.0	-1.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	83	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.52	9	-12	21	14.7	17.6	-2.90	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Jalen Brunson	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	5	-13	16.0	13.8	2.20	15.4	13.0	2.39
Maxi Kleber	70	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.55	1	-4	5	14.3	17.2	-2.82	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Reggie Bullock	40	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	7	-17	16.1	14.9	1.18	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Dorian Finney-Smith	83	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	9	-21	16.3	12.0	4.29	15.4	12.4	3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 114, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.08,0	87.9%
TOR 99, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.66,0.41,0	87.7%
BOS 122, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	87.1%