NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	11.5 [26]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +56.3%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	27.2 [51]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -28.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.56	0.29	0.30	0.04	21	80%	0.56	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.00	8	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	10	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	11	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	45%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	53%	0.16	3	-0.19	8	87%	-0.05
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	8	42%	-0.04	3	-0.12	10	50%	-0.30
Rajon Rondo	-0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	0.01	6	50%	0.04	6	-0.33	2	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	9	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.12	0.02	11	53%	0.15	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.14
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.18	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.05
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	80%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.06	0.05	16	72%	0.17	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	22	41%	-0.14	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	28.4	16.4	25.9	2.7	39.2	2.4	19.2	165.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +96.0%

IND -41.6%

BOS +23.8%

IND -26.1%

IND -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	15.5	110.9	107.3	106.4
season	15.8	14.1		108.3	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.9	18.3	16.9	16.2	12.4	15.8
IND	14.3	11.7	13.1	15.1	10.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	89	89	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-9	23	15.1	19.0	-3.85	13.3	12.7	0.54
Ray Allen	86	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-6	17	15.5	17.1	-1.59	12.7	14.8	-2.05
Kendrick Perkins	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-4	13	15.8	16.0	-0.27	13.7	11.8	1.91
Paul Pierce	92	92	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	15.6	17.2	-1.66	13.0	14.2	-1.17
Eddie House	35	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.8	12.9	0.94
Rajon Rondo	76	78	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	2	1	15.5	16.5	-0.96	12.6	14.6	-2.03
Brian Scalabrine	9	6	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	1	3	8.6	16.5	-7.93	10.0	13.4	-3.38
Glen Davis	25	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	9	-13	18.2	15.2	3.01	14.0	13.0	0.97
Leon Powe	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	12	-19	20.0	14.8	5.20	12.4	13.4	-1.01
Tony Allen	38	38	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.16	-7	12	-19	17.4	15.0	2.46	14.4	12.5	1.93

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	51	50	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.14	3	-8	11	13.9	12.5	1.41	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Stephen Graham	28	29	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-11	17	12.8	13.3	-0.50	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Josh McRoberts	19	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-10	15	13.3	13.2	0.15	19.0	15.2	3.78
Roy Hibbert	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-4	3	15.0	13.1	1.91	16.1	15.8	0.33
Troy Murphy	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	14.4	11.1	3.25	16.0	15.5	0.49
Rasho Nesterovic	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-3	1	12.4	14.0	-1.62	17.4	14.3	3.16
T.J. Ford	48	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	11.2	14.7	-3.47	14.2	17.3	-3.06
Danny Granger	89	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	4	-13	13.1	13.7	-0.68	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Jarrett Jack	67	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	1	-7	13.7	12.3	1.44	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Marquis Daniels	101	102	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	2	-9	13.4	10.5	2.91	16.1	12.1	4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 118, CLE 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.09,0	89.8%
CHA 106, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	89.8%
MIN 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	89.2%