NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	129		Excitement	12.0 [20]		MVP	Patty Mills (BKN): +61.1%
Brooklyn Nets	131		Comeback	14.2 [153]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -28.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38	0.14	0.23	-0.01	19	62%	0.38	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	13	68%	0.22	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.11	-0.01	21	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.29	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.29	0.10	-0.37	0.02	23	61%	-0.05	4	-0.24	5	100%	0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61	0.61	0.14	0.48	0.01	20	68%	0.69	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	10	80%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	12	71%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	81%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.1,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	29	52%	0.00	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	10	20%	-0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David Duke Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.23	-0.01	13	34%	-0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	0.2	27.7	0.7	27.2	1.8	30.0	2.4	14.3	129.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +18.9%

BKN +3.7%

BKN +37.6%

TOR -10.5%

BKN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	13.8	14.5	115.2	119.1	110.8
season	14.9	14.4		111.3	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.6	13.9	13.3	17.5	15.9	14.8
BKN	10.6	12.8	16.7	15.2	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	68	63	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.21	15	-17	32	14.1	16.0	-1.89	15.5	11.5	3.98
Gary Trent Jr.	88	87	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.50	13	-15	28	14.5	16.1	-1.59	14.2	12.2	2.01
Pascal Siakam	92	90	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.52	13	-15	28	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.5	10.6	3.86
Malachi Flynn	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	8	-18	16.1	14.6	1.44	12.0	14.1	-2.12
Justin Champagnie	26	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	10	-22	15.7	14.6	1.07	10.0	15.1	-5.10
Fred VanVleet	100	97	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-10	18	14.6	16.8	-2.24	14.2	11.2	3.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	20	20	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	13	-28	16.5	14.5	2.09	11.7	14.3	-2.58
Yuta Watanabe	59	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	13	-28	15.2	14.4	0.86	12.2	15.7	-3.57
Scottie Barnes	91	91	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	5	-12	15.0	14.0	1.08	14.2	12.2	2.00

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	89	92	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	13.6	14.8	-1.18	15.2	13.0	2.17
David Duke Jr.	74	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	14.6	12.1	2.48	15.4	13.6	1.78
Nic Claxton	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-2	6	13.1	14.6	-1.50	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Kevin Durant	100	101	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	7	-12	13.8	13.4	0.45	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Blake Griffin	62	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	5	-8	14.2	13.3	0.88	15.2	14.4	0.80
Kessler Edwards	82	81	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-6	14	13.5	14.8	-1.31	14.9	14.7	0.12
Cam Thomas	50	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.16	-6	8	-14	12.9	14.6	-1.67	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Day'Ron Sharpe	28	29	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.15	-7	9	-16	14.9	13.5	1.41	13.7	15.2	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.2,0.37,0.53,0.58,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 94, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.93,0.85,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,1	86.6%
DEN 105, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,1	85.9%
NOK 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.1,0	85.8%