NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	100		Excitement	8.0 [262]		MVP	Kirk Snyder (NOK): +54.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	7.0 [139]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.54	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.54,0.54	0.23	0.31	0.00	12	82%	0.57	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	22	57%	0.27	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jackson Vroman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Desmond Mason	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	15	39%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	21	48%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.16	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	4	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.09	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.08
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	18	43%	-0.07	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	32.5	16.0	26.2	2.5	36.4	140.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +58.2%

MIN -7.9%

MIN -30.2%

NOK +27.0%

NOK +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MIN	NBA	NOK	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.1	15.6	108.7	101.1	104.4
season	16.3	16.1		101.2	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.3		103.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	18.5	18.3	14.7	17.1	17.0
MIN	16.7	14.5	14.1	11.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	74	75	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.47	18	-12	30	15.8	22.0	-6.18	14.1	14.1	0.08
Kirk Snyder	64	64	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.54	15	-9	24	16.5	18.3	-1.85	14.3	13.8	0.52
David West	65	67	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.50	10	-4	14	15.8	20.0	-4.25	14.0	14.5	-0.58
Speedy Claxton	82	83	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	16.4	22.3	-5.91	13.9	15.9	-2.00
P.J. Brown	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-2	10	16.4	18.7	-2.32	14.3	13.6	0.71
Jackson Vroman	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	4	-2	22.0	16.4	5.64	15.0	14.0	1.00
Aaron Williams	39	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	17	-28	19.1	15.5	3.50	14.2	14.1	0.11
Bostjan Nachbar	29	30	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.19	-7	13	-20	19.2	16.0	3.12	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Rasual Butler	28	28	-0.64	1.14	-1.77	-0.17	-16	22	-38	20.8	15.4	5.40	14.2	14.1	0.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	15.9	13.8	2.05	19.3	16.6	2.75
Richie Frahm	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-5	4	11.0	14.2	-3.15	3.5	17.3	-13.83
Justin Reed	47	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-10	14	12.8	15.5	-2.65	18.1	16.0	2.15
Anthony Carter	51	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	15.6	12.3	3.25	16.2	18.0	-1.82
Mark Madsen	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	16.2	12.7	3.54	16.6	17.4	-0.77
Trenton Hassell	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	0	-6	15.4	12.6	2.73	16.7	17.5	-0.82
Marcus Banks	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-4	2	12.3	15.6	-3.25	18.0	16.2	1.82
Mark Blount	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	1	-8	12.7	15.8	-3.08	17.3	16.7	0.59
Ricky Davis	89	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.0	17.2	-3.27	16.5	28.2	-11.73
Kevin Garnett	81	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	13.9	15.7	-1.78	17.2	16.3	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.28,0	88.4%
LAC 109, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.08,0	88.3%
WAS 86, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.31,0	88.3%